Recent reports confirm José Mourinho as the leading candidate to succeed Álvaro Arbeloa as Real Madrid head coach, with negotiations in final stages and a post-season announcement expected after the La Liga campaign concludes. This follows a turbulent 2025-26 season marked by multiple managerial changes, including Carlo Ancelotti's departure to the Brazil national team and Xabi Alonso's interim role. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing stems from Mourinho's prior Bernabéu success, his availability via a Benfica release clause, and alignment with club president Florentino Pérez's vision for immediate stabilization. Scenarios that could shift implied probabilities include an unexpected contract extension for Arbeloa, a surprise return by Zinedine Zidane, or major club leadership shifts ahead of the May presidential vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於若澤·穆里尼奧 87.5%
齊達內 <1%
馬西米利亞諾·阿萊格里 <1%
恩佐·馬雷斯卡 <1%
$146,986 交易量
$146,986 交易量
若澤·穆里尼奧
87%
齊達內
1%
馬西米利亞諾·阿萊格里
1%
恩佐·馬雷斯卡
1%
毛里西奧·波切蒂諾
1%
萊昂內爾·斯卡洛尼
1%
尤爾根·克洛普
1%
烏奈·埃梅里
<1%
米克爾·阿爾特塔
<1%
迪迪埃·德尚
<1%
路易斯·恩里克
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
朱利安·納格爾斯曼
<1%
托馬斯·圖赫爾
<1%
奧利弗·格拉斯納
<1%
羅伯托·德澤爾比
<1%
若澤·穆里尼奧 87.5%
齊達內 <1%
馬西米利亞諾·阿萊格里 <1%
恩佐·馬雷斯卡 <1%
$146,986 交易量
$146,986 交易量
若澤·穆里尼奧
87%
齊達內
1%
馬西米利亞諾·阿萊格里
1%
恩佐·馬雷斯卡
1%
毛里西奧·波切蒂諾
1%
萊昂內爾·斯卡洛尼
1%
尤爾根·克洛普
1%
烏奈·埃梅里
<1%
米克爾·阿爾特塔
<1%
迪迪埃·德尚
<1%
路易斯·恩里克
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
朱利安·納格爾斯曼
<1%
托馬斯·圖赫爾
<1%
奧利弗·格拉斯納
<1%
羅伯托·德澤爾比
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports confirm José Mourinho as the leading candidate to succeed Álvaro Arbeloa as Real Madrid head coach, with negotiations in final stages and a post-season announcement expected after the La Liga campaign concludes. This follows a turbulent 2025-26 season marked by multiple managerial changes, including Carlo Ancelotti's departure to the Brazil national team and Xabi Alonso's interim role. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing stems from Mourinho's prior Bernabéu success, his availability via a Benfica release clause, and alignment with club president Florentino Pérez's vision for immediate stabilization. Scenarios that could shift implied probabilities include an unexpected contract extension for Arbeloa, a surprise return by Zinedine Zidane, or major club leadership shifts ahead of the May presidential vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions