Aaron Rai captured the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club with a commanding final-round 65, highlighted by a clutch 68-foot birdie putt on the 17th hole that created an insurmountable lead over a loaded field of major champions. This performance shifted trader consensus to near-certainty around his outright victory, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a major where recent form, course management, and momentum under pressure proved decisive on a demanding setup. While the market now prices Rai at 100 percent implied probability, outcomes in stroke-play majors remain subject to late swings from weather, pin placements, or unforced errors that could have reopened the leaderboard for players like Scottie Scheffler or Rory McIlroy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於亞倫·賴 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 <1%
卡梅倫·楊 <1%
$8,867,394 交易量
$8,867,394 交易量
亞倫·賴
100%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
<1%
卡梅倫·楊
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
山德·舍奧克利
<1%
路德維格·阿貝格
<1%
馬特·菲茨派翠克
<1%
賈斯汀·托馬斯
<1%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
<1%
薩姆·伯恩斯
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
<1%
安德魯·諾瓦克
<1%
安德魯·普特南
<1%
閔佑李
<1%
賈斯汀·羅斯
<1%
瑞奇·福勒
<1%
尼古拉·霍伊加德
<1%
金時煥
<1%
帕特里克·瑞德
<1%
松山英樹
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
本·格里芬
<1%
華金·尼曼
<1%
大衛·普伊格
<1%
布萊恩·哈曼
<1%
尼克·泰勒
<1%
巴德·考利
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
馬蒂·施密特
<1%
亞倫·賴 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 <1%
卡梅倫·楊 <1%
$8,867,394 交易量
$8,867,394 交易量
亞倫·賴
100%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
<1%
卡梅倫·楊
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
山德·舍奧克利
<1%
路德維格·阿貝格
<1%
馬特·菲茨派翠克
<1%
賈斯汀·托馬斯
<1%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
<1%
薩姆·伯恩斯
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
<1%
安德魯·諾瓦克
<1%
安德魯·普特南
<1%
閔佑李
<1%
賈斯汀·羅斯
<1%
瑞奇·福勒
<1%
尼古拉·霍伊加德
<1%
金時煥
<1%
帕特里克·瑞德
<1%
松山英樹
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
本·格里芬
<1%
華金·尼曼
<1%
大衛·普伊格
<1%
布萊恩·哈曼
<1%
尼克·泰勒
<1%
巴德·考利
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
馬蒂·施密特
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Aaron Rai captured the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club with a commanding final-round 65, highlighted by a clutch 68-foot birdie putt on the 17th hole that created an insurmountable lead over a loaded field of major champions. This performance shifted trader consensus to near-certainty around his outright victory, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in a major where recent form, course management, and momentum under pressure proved decisive on a demanding setup. While the market now prices Rai at 100 percent implied probability, outcomes in stroke-play majors remain subject to late swings from weather, pin placements, or unforced errors that could have reopened the leaderboard for players like Scottie Scheffler or Rory McIlroy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions