The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched field where implied probabilities reflect broad uncertainty among contenders. Matti Schmid holds a narrow lead in trader consensus, closely followed by Jon Rahm and Nick Taylor, with Rory McIlroy and others within striking distance. This distribution stems from recent PGA Tour form, course-specific ball-striking demands, and the absence of any dominant pre-tournament favorite. Historical major volatility, combined with variable weather and pin placements at Quail Hollow, continues to support multiple viable paths to victory. The spread keeps the race open, as strong weekend performances or a single hot putter can shift momentum rapidly in stroke-play format.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於馬蒂·施密特 22.6%
Jon Rahm 18.6%
尼克·泰勒 12.4%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 11.1%
$7,569,069 交易量
$7,569,069 交易量
馬蒂·施密特
23%
Jon Rahm
19%
尼克·泰勒
12%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
11%
亞倫·賴
10%
路德維格·阿貝格
8%
山德·舍奧克利
7%
卡梅隆·史密斯
6%
賈斯汀·托馬斯
4%
Alex Smalley
3%
賈斯汀·羅斯
1%
帕特里克·瑞德
1%
本·格里芬
<1%
華金·尼曼
<1%
松山英樹
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
卡梅倫·楊
<1%
馬特·菲茨派翠克
<1%
派翠克·坎特利
<1%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
<1%
柯林·森川
<1%
薩姆·伯恩斯
<1%
喬丹·史畢斯
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
亞歷克斯·諾倫
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
薩姆·史蒂文斯
<1%
薩希斯·提加拉
<1%
邁克爾·布倫南
<1%
瑞恩·福克斯
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
約翰·基弗
<1%
安德魯·諾瓦克
<1%
安德魯·普特南
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
丹尼爾·布朗
<1%
閔佑李
<1%
瑞奇·福勒
<1%
尼古拉·霍伊加德
<1%
金時煥
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
大衛·普伊格
<1%
傑森·戴
<1%
布萊恩·哈曼
<1%
泰勒·潘德瑞斯
<1%
奧爾德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
馬特·華萊士
<1%
丹尼爾·柏格
<1%
巴德·考利
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊加德
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
基斯·米契爾
<1%
拉斯穆斯·尼爾加德-彼得森
<1%
約翰·派瑞
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
克里斯蒂安·貝祖登胡特
<1%
馬蒂·施密特 22.6%
Jon Rahm 18.6%
尼克·泰勒 12.4%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 11.1%
$7,569,069 交易量
$7,569,069 交易量
馬蒂·施密特
23%
Jon Rahm
19%
尼克·泰勒
12%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
11%
亞倫·賴
10%
路德維格·阿貝格
8%
山德·舍奧克利
7%
卡梅隆·史密斯
6%
賈斯汀·托馬斯
4%
Alex Smalley
3%
賈斯汀·羅斯
1%
帕特里克·瑞德
1%
本·格里芬
<1%
華金·尼曼
<1%
松山英樹
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
卡梅倫·楊
<1%
馬特·菲茨派翠克
<1%
派翠克·坎特利
<1%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
<1%
柯林·森川
<1%
薩姆·伯恩斯
<1%
喬丹·史畢斯
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
亞歷克斯·諾倫
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
薩姆·史蒂文斯
<1%
薩希斯·提加拉
<1%
邁克爾·布倫南
<1%
瑞恩·福克斯
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
約翰·基弗
<1%
安德魯·諾瓦克
<1%
安德魯·普特南
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
丹尼爾·布朗
<1%
閔佑李
<1%
瑞奇·福勒
<1%
尼古拉·霍伊加德
<1%
金時煥
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
大衛·普伊格
<1%
傑森·戴
<1%
布萊恩·哈曼
<1%
泰勒·潘德瑞斯
<1%
奧爾德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
馬特·華萊士
<1%
丹尼爾·柏格
<1%
巴德·考利
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊加德
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
基斯·米契爾
<1%
拉斯穆斯·尼爾加德-彼得森
<1%
約翰·派瑞
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
克里斯蒂安·貝祖登胡特
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched field where implied probabilities reflect broad uncertainty among contenders. Matti Schmid holds a narrow lead in trader consensus, closely followed by Jon Rahm and Nick Taylor, with Rory McIlroy and others within striking distance. This distribution stems from recent PGA Tour form, course-specific ball-striking demands, and the absence of any dominant pre-tournament favorite. Historical major volatility, combined with variable weather and pin placements at Quail Hollow, continues to support multiple viable paths to victory. The spread keeps the race open, as strong weekend performances or a single hot putter can shift momentum rapidly in stroke-play format.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions