Alex Smalley holds the solo lead heading into the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club, with several players clustered within a few strokes on the leaderboard. This positioning drives the tightest implied probabilities among the top contenders, including Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, as traders weigh their recent form, course management, and closing-round execution under pressure. Scottie Scheffler sits further back after a challenging third round, tempering his market share relative to pre-tournament expectations. The bunched probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing a competitive final-day scenario where strong ball-striking, putting consistency, and avoidance of mistakes on the par-70 layout can shift outcomes rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Alex Smalley 16.6%
Jon Rahm 15.4%
路德維格·阿貝格 14.2%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 14.1%
$6,347,743 交易量
$6,347,743 交易量
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
路德維格·阿貝格
14%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
14%
山德·舍奧克利
7%
尼克·泰勒
4%
亞倫·賴
4%
帕特里克·瑞德
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
馬蒂·施密特
3%
松山英樹
2%
賈斯汀·羅斯
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
閔佑李
1%
華金·尼曼
1%
本·格里芬
1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
1%
卡梅倫·楊
1%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
1%
安德魯·諾瓦克
1%
瑞奇·福勒
1%
薩姆·伯恩斯
<1%
巴德·考利
<1%
大衛·普伊格
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
喬丹·史畢斯
<1%
布萊恩·哈曼
<1%
安德魯·普特南
<1%
尼古拉·霍伊加德
<1%
金時煥
<1%
馬特·菲茨派翠克
<1%
賈斯汀·托馬斯
<1%
派翠克·坎特利
<1%
柯林·森川
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
亞歷克斯·諾倫
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
薩姆·史蒂文斯
<1%
薩希斯·提加拉
<1%
邁克爾·布倫南
<1%
瑞恩·福克斯
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
約翰·基弗
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
丹尼爾·布朗
<1%
傑森·戴
<1%
泰勒·潘德瑞斯
<1%
奧爾德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
馬特·華萊士
<1%
丹尼爾·柏格
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊加德
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
基斯·米契爾
<1%
拉斯穆斯·尼爾加德-彼得森
<1%
約翰·派瑞
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
克里斯蒂安·貝祖登胡特
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.6%
Jon Rahm 15.4%
路德維格·阿貝格 14.2%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 14.1%
$6,347,743 交易量
$6,347,743 交易量
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
路德維格·阿貝格
14%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
14%
山德·舍奧克利
7%
尼克·泰勒
4%
亞倫·賴
4%
帕特里克·瑞德
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
馬蒂·施密特
3%
松山英樹
2%
賈斯汀·羅斯
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
閔佑李
1%
華金·尼曼
1%
本·格里芬
1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
1%
卡梅倫·楊
1%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
1%
安德魯·諾瓦克
1%
瑞奇·福勒
1%
薩姆·伯恩斯
<1%
巴德·考利
<1%
大衛·普伊格
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
喬丹·史畢斯
<1%
布萊恩·哈曼
<1%
安德魯·普特南
<1%
尼古拉·霍伊加德
<1%
金時煥
<1%
馬特·菲茨派翠克
<1%
賈斯汀·托馬斯
<1%
派翠克·坎特利
<1%
柯林·森川
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
亞歷克斯·諾倫
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
薩姆·史蒂文斯
<1%
薩希斯·提加拉
<1%
邁克爾·布倫南
<1%
瑞恩·福克斯
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
約翰·基弗
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
丹尼爾·布朗
<1%
傑森·戴
<1%
泰勒·潘德瑞斯
<1%
奧爾德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
馬特·華萊士
<1%
丹尼爾·柏格
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊加德
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
基斯·米契爾
<1%
拉斯穆斯·尼爾加德-彼得森
<1%
約翰·派瑞
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
克里斯蒂安·貝祖登胡特
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alex Smalley holds the solo lead heading into the final round of the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club, with several players clustered within a few strokes on the leaderboard. This positioning drives the tightest implied probabilities among the top contenders, including Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, as traders weigh their recent form, course management, and closing-round execution under pressure. Scottie Scheffler sits further back after a challenging third round, tempering his market share relative to pre-tournament expectations. The bunched probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing a competitive final-day scenario where strong ball-striking, putting consistency, and avoidance of mistakes on the par-70 layout can shift outcomes rapidly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions