The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Alex Smalley 16.5%
Jon Rahm 15.4%
路德維格·阿貝格 14.0%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 12.4%
$6,155,294 交易量
$6,155,294 交易量
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
路德維格·阿貝格
14%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
12%
山德·舍奧克利
7%
尼克·泰勒
5%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
帕特里克·瑞德
4%
亞倫·賴
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
馬蒂·施密特
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
賈斯汀·羅斯
2%
閔佑李
2%
松山英樹
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
華金·尼曼
1%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
1%
本·格里芬
1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
1%
卡梅倫·楊
1%
薩姆·伯恩斯
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
安德魯·諾瓦克
1%
瑞奇·福勒
1%
巴德·考利
1%
大衛·普伊格
<1%
喬丹·史畢斯
<1%
布萊恩·哈曼
<1%
安德魯·普特南
<1%
尼古拉·霍伊加德
<1%
金時煥
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
馬特·菲茨派翠克
<1%
賈斯汀·托馬斯
<1%
派翠克·坎特利
<1%
柯林·森川
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
亞歷克斯·諾倫
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
薩姆·史蒂文斯
<1%
薩希斯·提加拉
<1%
邁克爾·布倫南
<1%
瑞恩·福克斯
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
約翰·基弗
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
丹尼爾·布朗
<1%
傑森·戴
<1%
泰勒·潘德瑞斯
<1%
奧爾德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
馬特·華萊士
<1%
丹尼爾·柏格
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊加德
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
基斯·米契爾
<1%
拉斯穆斯·尼爾加德-彼得森
<1%
約翰·派瑞
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
克里斯蒂安·貝祖登胡特
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.5%
Jon Rahm 15.4%
路德維格·阿貝格 14.0%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊 12.4%
$6,155,294 交易量
$6,155,294 交易量
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
路德維格·阿貝格
14%
羅瑞·麥克羅伊
12%
山德·舍奧克利
7%
尼克·泰勒
5%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
帕特里克·瑞德
4%
亞倫·賴
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
馬蒂·施密特
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
賈斯汀·羅斯
2%
閔佑李
2%
松山英樹
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
華金·尼曼
1%
布魯克斯·柯普卡
1%
本·格里芬
1%
卡梅隆·史密斯
1%
卡梅倫·楊
1%
薩姆·伯恩斯
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
安德魯·諾瓦克
1%
瑞奇·福勒
1%
巴德·考利
1%
大衛·普伊格
<1%
喬丹·史畢斯
<1%
布萊恩·哈曼
<1%
安德魯·普特南
<1%
尼古拉·霍伊加德
<1%
金時煥
<1%
哈里斯·英格利希
<1%
馬特·菲茨派翠克
<1%
賈斯汀·托馬斯
<1%
派翠克·坎特利
<1%
柯林·森川
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
亞歷克斯·諾倫
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
李昊桐
<1%
薩姆·史蒂文斯
<1%
薩希斯·提加拉
<1%
邁克爾·布倫南
<1%
瑞恩·福克斯
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
約翰·基弗
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
丹尼爾·布朗
<1%
傑森·戴
<1%
泰勒·潘德瑞斯
<1%
奧爾德里奇·波特吉特
<1%
馬特·華萊士
<1%
丹尼爾·柏格
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
拉斯穆斯·霍伊加德
<1%
達斯汀·約翰遜
<1%
基斯·米契爾
<1%
拉斯穆斯·尼爾加德-彼得森
<1%
約翰·派瑞
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
克里斯蒂安·貝祖登胡特
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions