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icon for PGA巡迴賽:球員在2026年6月30日前錄製信天翁?

PGA巡迴賽:球員在2026年6月30日前錄製信天翁?

icon for PGA巡迴賽:球員在2026年6月30日前錄製信天翁?

PGA巡迴賽:球員在2026年6月30日前錄製信天翁?

69% 機率
Polymarket
最新

69% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market. If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Albatrosses remain exceptionally rare on the PGA Tour, with historical data showing roughly three per season across thousands of rounds played annually. Recent form underscores the challenge, as only two occurred throughout 2025 and one early in 2026 before Max McGreevy's 246-yard double eagle in March at the Cognizant Classic. The current six-week window to June 30 features a standard schedule of signature and regular events without any standout course conditions or reachable par-5 setups that historically boost such outcomes. Trader consensus at 65.5% for no albatross reflects this low baseline frequency, where even elite ball-strikers face million-to-one odds per attempt despite strong recent scoring trends among top players.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.

If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market. If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market. If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Albatrosses remain exceptionally rare on the PGA Tour, with historical data showing roughly three per season across thousands of rounds played annually. Recent form underscores the challenge, as only two occurred throughout 2025 and one early in 2026 before Max McGreevy's 246-yard double eagle in March at the Cognizant Classic. The current six-week window to June 30 features a standard schedule of signature and regular events without any standout course conditions or reachable par-5 setups that historically boost such outcomes. Trader consensus at 65.5% for no albatross reflects this low baseline frequency, where even elite ball-strikers face million-to-one odds per attempt despite strong recent scoring trends among top players.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.

If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1
結束日期
2026-06-01
市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market. If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA巡迴賽:球員在2026年6月30日前錄製信天翁?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "PGA巡迴賽:有球員在2026年6月30日前打出信天翁球嗎?" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA巡迴賽:球員在2026年6月30日前錄製信天翁?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA巡迴賽:球員在2026年6月30日前錄製信天翁?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA巡迴賽:球員在2026年6月30日前錄製信天翁?" is "PGA巡迴賽:有球員在2026年6月30日前打出信天翁球嗎?" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA巡迴賽:球員在2026年6月30日前錄製信天翁?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.