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icon for 普京在8月31日前與伊朗官員會面？

普京在8月31日前與伊朗官員會面？

icon for 普京在8月31日前與伊朗官員會面？

普京在8月31日前與伊朗官員會面？

是

63% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

63% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's close strategic partnership with Iran, reinforced by Vladimir Putin's April 2026 meeting with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid ongoing regional tensions, underpins the 74.5% trader consensus for a meeting by August 31. The scheduled Caspian Sea summit in Tehran on August 12 provides a clear near-term venue for high-level engagement, potentially including Iran's leadership, despite the conflict backdrop. Recent diplomacy, including Putin's comments on mediating tensions and sustained alliance pledges, signals continued direct contact. Traders weigh these established channels and the fixed August timeline against any last-minute disruptions from broader Middle East developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$952
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's close strategic partnership with Iran, reinforced by Vladimir Putin's April 2026 meeting with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid ongoing regional tensions, underpins the 74.5% trader consensus for a meeting by August 31. The scheduled Caspian Sea summit in Tehran on August 12 provides a clear near-term venue for high-level engagement, potentially including Iran's leadership, despite the conflict backdrop. Recent diplomacy, including Putin's comments on mediating tensions and sustained alliance pledges, signals continued direct contact. Traders weigh these established channels and the fixed August timeline against any last-minute disruptions from broader Middle East developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$952
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"普京在8月31日前與伊朗官員會面？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "普京會在8月31日之前會見伊朗官員嗎？" at 61%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"普京在8月31日前與伊朗官員會面？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "普京在8月31日前與伊朗官員會面？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "普京在8月31日前與伊朗官員會面？" is "普京會在8月31日之前會見伊朗官員嗎？" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "普京在8月31日前與伊朗官員會面？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.