Ongoing stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustains trader consensus around a 91.5% implied probability of no near-term peace agreement. Recent Ukrainian territorial gains of roughly 745 square kilometers and precision strikes have shifted frontline momentum without forcing concessions on core issues like territorial control or security guarantees. Both sides maintain strong defensive form, with Russia holding about 20% of Ukrainian territory amid high attrition rates, while Ukraine leverages drone operations and Western support to counter advances. Brief ceasefires and prisoner exchanges in early 2026 failed to build lasting progress, as talks in Geneva and elsewhere highlighted persistent gaps. This competitive balance, with no decisive edge for either side, reinforces expectations that the conflict will extend without resolution in the immediate term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
$599,149 交易量
$599,149 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 機率
$599,149 交易量
$599,149 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfOngoing stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustains trader consensus around a 91.5% implied probability of no near-term peace agreement. Recent Ukrainian territorial gains of roughly 745 square kilometers and precision strikes have shifted frontline momentum without forcing concessions on core issues like territorial control or security guarantees. Both sides maintain strong defensive form, with Russia holding about 20% of Ukrainian territory amid high attrition rates, while Ukraine leverages drone operations and Western support to counter advances. Brief ceasefires and prisoner exchanges in early 2026 failed to build lasting progress, as talks in Geneva and elsewhere highlighted persistent gaps. This competitive balance, with no decisive edge for either side, reinforces expectations that the conflict will extend without resolution in the immediate term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
市場開放時間： Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
交易量
$599,149結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfOngoing stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustains trader consensus around a 91.5% implied probability of no near-term peace agreement. Recent Ukrainian territorial gains of roughly 745 square kilometers and precision strikes have shifted frontline momentum without forcing concessions on core issues like territorial control or security guarantees. Both sides maintain strong defensive form, with Russia holding about 20% of Ukrainian territory amid high attrition rates, while Ukraine leverages drone operations and Western support to counter advances. Brief ceasefires and prisoner exchanges in early 2026 failed to build lasting progress, as talks in Geneva and elsewhere highlighted persistent gaps. This competitive balance, with no decisive edge for either side, reinforces expectations that the conflict will extend without resolution in the immediate term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
交易量
$599,149結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine matchup sustains trader consensus around a 91.5% implied probability of no near-term peace agreement. Recent Ukrainian territorial gains of roughly 745 square kilometers and precision strikes have shifted frontline momentum without forcing concessions on core issues like territorial control or security guarantees. Both sides maintain strong defensive form, with Russia holding about 20% of Ukrainian territory amid high attrition rates, while Ukraine leverages drone operations and Western support to counter advances. Brief ceasefires and prisoner exchanges in early 2026 failed to build lasting progress, as talks in Geneva and elsewhere highlighted persistent gaps. This competitive balance, with no decisive edge for either side, reinforces expectations that the conflict will extend without resolution in the immediate term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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