Texas voter turnout in the November 2026 U.S. Senate contest between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico remains difficult to pin down, producing tightly clustered market probabilities across the 8–11.2 million vote range. Recent primaries showed unusually high participation, with Democrats outpacing Republicans for the first time since 2020 amid a competitive nomination fight, yet midterm runoffs historically see sharp drops. The general election’s closeness, intense mobilization by both parties, and Texas’s large registered voter base (over 18 million) create uncertainty around final participation levels. Late-cycle factors such as early voting trends, weather, national political environment, and ground-game effectiveness in key demographics could shift totals in either direction before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1,080萬-1,120萬 42%
880萬-920萬 42%
800萬-840萬 42%
少於8M 41%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於8M
41%
800萬-840萬
42%
840萬-880萬
41%
880萬-920萬
42%
920萬-960萬
41%
960萬至1000萬
41%
1,000 萬至 1,040 萬
41%
1040萬-1080萬
41%
1,080萬-1,120萬
42%
1120萬+
41%
1,080萬-1,120萬 42%
880萬-920萬 42%
800萬-840萬 42%
少於8M 41%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於8M
$0 交易量
41%
800萬-840萬
$0 交易量
42%
840萬-880萬
$0 交易量
41%
880萬-920萬
$0 交易量
42%
920萬-960萬
$0 交易量
41%
960萬至1000萬
$0 交易量
41%
1,000 萬至 1,040 萬
$0 交易量
41%
1040萬-1080萬
$0 交易量
41%
1,080萬-1,120萬
$0 交易量
42%
1120萬+
$0 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Texas voter turnout in the November 2026 U.S. Senate contest between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico remains difficult to pin down, producing tightly clustered market probabilities across the 8–11.2 million vote range. Recent primaries showed unusually high participation, with Democrats outpacing Republicans for the first time since 2020 amid a competitive nomination fight, yet midterm runoffs historically see sharp drops. The general election’s closeness, intense mobilization by both parties, and Texas’s large registered voter base (over 18 million) create uncertainty around final participation levels. Late-cycle factors such as early voting trends, weather, national political environment, and ground-game effectiveness in key demographics could shift totals in either direction before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Texas voter turnout in the November 2026 U.S. Senate contest between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico remains difficult to pin down, producing tightly clustered market probabilities across the 8–11.2 million vote range. Recent primaries showed unusually high participation, with Democrats outpacing Republicans for the first time since 2020 amid a competitive nomination fight, yet midterm runoffs historically see sharp drops. The general election’s closeness, intense mobilization by both parties, and Texas’s large registered voter base (over 18 million) create uncertainty around final participation levels. Late-cycle factors such as early voting trends, weather, national political environment, and ground-game effectiveness in key demographics could shift totals in either direction before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Texas voter turnout in the November 2026 U.S. Senate contest between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico remains difficult to pin down, producing tightly clustered market probabilities across the 8–11.2 million vote range. Recent primaries showed unusually high participation, with Democrats outpacing Republicans for the first time since 2020 amid a competitive nomination fight, yet midterm runoffs historically see sharp drops. The general election’s closeness, intense mobilization by both parties, and Texas’s large registered voter base (over 18 million) create uncertainty around final participation levels. Late-cycle factors such as early voting trends, weather, national political environment, and ground-game effectiveness in key demographics could shift totals in either direction before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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