Recent polling shows Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie among likely voters, with the contest divided sharply along age lines, party loyalty, and voter priorities such as the economy and immigration. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage has supported strong outreach, while Paxton benefits from unified Republican support following his primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting Texas’s long Republican dominance in statewide contests alongside growing Democratic competitiveness. Late-cycle developments including debates, turnout efforts among key blocs, and any shifts in national economic conditions could widen the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$783,702 交易量
$783,702 交易量
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）
52%
肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）
50%
$783,702 交易量
$783,702 交易量
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主黨）
$372,429 交易量
52%
肯·帕克斯頓（共和黨）
$411,273 交易量
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling shows Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie among likely voters, with the contest divided sharply along age lines, party loyalty, and voter priorities such as the economy and immigration. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage has supported strong outreach, while Paxton benefits from unified Republican support following his primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting Texas’s long Republican dominance in statewide contests alongside growing Democratic competitiveness. Late-cycle developments including debates, turnout efforts among key blocs, and any shifts in national economic conditions could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$783,702結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling shows Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie among likely voters, with the contest divided sharply along age lines, party loyalty, and voter priorities such as the economy and immigration. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage has supported strong outreach, while Paxton benefits from unified Republican support following his primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting Texas’s long Republican dominance in statewide contests alongside growing Democratic competitiveness. Late-cycle developments including debates, turnout efforts among key blocs, and any shifts in national economic conditions could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$783,702結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie among likely voters, with the contest divided sharply along age lines, party loyalty, and voter priorities such as the economy and immigration. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage has supported strong outreach, while Paxton benefits from unified Republican support following his primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Forecasters rate the race as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting Texas’s long Republican dominance in statewide contests alongside growing Democratic competitiveness. Late-cycle developments including debates, turnout efforts among key blocs, and any shifts in national economic conditions could widen the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions