Arsenal's deep run to the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League final has traders viewing Declan Rice, Martín Zubimendi, Morten Hjulmand, and Mikel Merino as near-equals for most cards, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 40-48% amid their shared roles as combative central midfielders prone to high tackle volumes and fouls. Hjulmand leads outright with 5 yellows from the league phase, but Sporting CP's quarterfinal exit caps his opportunities, while Arsenal's trio—each on 3-4 bookings after serving suspension resets—face two semifinal legs against Atlético Madrid plus the May 30 final, where knockout intensity and referee scrutiny elevate card risks in high-stakes defending. Recent clean sheets in legs against Sporting and Atlético have preserved the deadlock, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this disciplinary race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於莫藤·休爾曼 49%
迪克蘭·賴斯 48%
馬丁·祖比門迪 48%
米克爾·梅里諾 40%
莫藤·休爾曼
49%
迪克蘭·賴斯
48%
馬丁·祖比門迪
48%
米克爾·梅里諾
40%
莫藤·休爾曼 49%
迪克蘭·賴斯 48%
馬丁·祖比門迪 48%
米克爾·梅里諾 40%
莫藤·休爾曼
49%
迪克蘭·賴斯
48%
馬丁·祖比門迪
48%
米克爾·梅里諾
40%
For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 23, 2026, 10:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Arsenal's deep run to the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League final has traders viewing Declan Rice, Martín Zubimendi, Morten Hjulmand, and Mikel Merino as near-equals for most cards, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 40-48% amid their shared roles as combative central midfielders prone to high tackle volumes and fouls. Hjulmand leads outright with 5 yellows from the league phase, but Sporting CP's quarterfinal exit caps his opportunities, while Arsenal's trio—each on 3-4 bookings after serving suspension resets—face two semifinal legs against Atlético Madrid plus the May 30 final, where knockout intensity and referee scrutiny elevate card risks in high-stakes defending. Recent clean sheets in legs against Sporting and Atlético have preserved the deadlock, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this disciplinary race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions