Kai Asakura enters the August 29 UFC Shanghai bantamweight bout as the clear market favorite, reflecting his 22-6 record, first-round TKO win over Cameron Smotherman in May, and sharper striking volume compared with Aoriqileng’s 26-13 mark and second-round knockout loss to Cody Haddon on the same card. Aoriqileng brings Sanda roots and durability but has posted a 4-5 UFC ledger with recent defensive lapses that traders appear to be pricing in. The Shanghai location offers modest home-crowd support for the Mongolian fighter, yet Asakura’s recent momentum, reach edge at 5-foot-8, and overall skill differential continue to anchor the consensus implied probability. No reported injuries or late roster changes have altered the picture in the past week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於11天 21時
This market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Aoriqileng" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Asakura defeats Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aoriqileng defeats Kai Asakura at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Kai Asakura enters the August 29 UFC Shanghai bantamweight bout as the clear market favorite, reflecting his 22-6 record, first-round TKO win over Cameron Smotherman in May, and sharper striking volume compared with Aoriqileng’s 26-13 mark and second-round knockout loss to Cody Haddon on the same card. Aoriqileng brings Sanda roots and durability but has posted a 4-5 UFC ledger with recent defensive lapses that traders appear to be pricing in. The Shanghai location offers modest home-crowd support for the Mongolian fighter, yet Asakura’s recent momentum, reach edge at 5-foot-8, and overall skill differential continue to anchor the consensus implied probability. No reported injuries or late roster changes have altered the picture in the past week.
This market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Aoriqileng" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Aoriqileng" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...11天 21時
This market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Aoriqileng" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Asakura defeats Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aoriqileng defeats Kai Asakura at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
"Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
"Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
"Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
"Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50."
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 12, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Kai Asakura enters the August 29 UFC Shanghai bantamweight bout as the clear market favorite, reflecting his 22-6 record, first-round TKO win over Cameron Smotherman in May, and sharper striking volume compared with Aoriqileng’s 26-13 mark and second-round knockout loss to Cody Haddon on the same card. Aoriqileng brings Sanda roots and durability but has posted a 4-5 UFC ledger with recent defensive lapses that traders appear to be pricing in. The Shanghai location offers modest home-crowd support for the Mongolian fighter, yet Asakura’s recent momentum, reach edge at 5-foot-8, and overall skill differential continue to anchor the consensus implied probability. No reported injuries or late roster changes have altered the picture in the past week.
This market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.
It will resolve to "Aoriqileng" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Aoriqileng" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kai Asakura enters the August 29 UFC Shanghai bantamweight bout as the clear market favorite, reflecting his 22-6 record, first-round TKO win over Cameron Smotherman in May, and sharper striking volume compared with Aoriqileng’s 26-13 mark and second-round knockout loss to Cody Haddon on the same card. Aoriqileng brings Sanda roots and durability but has posted a 4-5 UFC ledger with recent defensive lapses that traders appear to be pricing in. The Shanghai location offers modest home-crowd support for the Mongolian fighter, yet Asakura’s recent momentum, reach edge at 5-foot-8, and overall skill differential continue to anchor the consensus implied probability. No reported injuries or late roster changes have altered the picture in the past week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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