Skip to main content
icon for 美元x伊朗裏亞爾7月底?

美元x伊朗裏亞爾7月底?

icon for 美元x伊朗裏亞爾7月底?

美元x伊朗裏亞爾7月底?

低於140萬 99%

1,400,000-1,500,000 99%

1,500,000-1,600,000 99%

160萬-170萬 99%

Polymarket
最新

低於140萬 99%

1,400,000-1,500,000 99%

1,500,000-1,600,000 99%

160萬-170萬 99%

Polymarket
最新

低於140萬

$0 交易量

99%

1,400,000-1,500,000

$0 交易量

99%

1,500,000-1,600,000

$0 交易量

99%

160萬-170萬

$0 交易量

99%

1,700,000-1,800,000

$0 交易量

99%

1,800,000-1,900,000

$0 交易量

99%

1,900,000以上

$0 交易量

99%

This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent developments in US-Iran diplomacy and sanctions enforcement have produced closely matched market-implied odds across USD/IRR buckets clustered around 1.4M–1.9M for end-July 2026, reflecting trader uncertainty over the pace of any thaw following the spring conflict and naval blockade. Persistent high inflation near 50 percent, constrained oil export revenues under maximum-pressure measures, and limited access to foreign reserves continue to exert downward pressure on the rial, while recent reports of a temporary sanctions reprieve and stock-market rebound signal potential stabilization. Key swing factors include upcoming bilateral talks, oil-price movements amid regional supply risks, and central-bank interventions, all of which could shift the free-market rate materially within the narrow resolution window. Market participants appear to price in balanced probabilities of modest appreciation versus renewed depreciation, consistent with the volatile post-conflict environment and absence of durable policy clarity.

This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).

A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.

Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-31
市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent developments in US-Iran diplomacy and sanctions enforcement have produced closely matched market-implied odds across USD/IRR buckets clustered around 1.4M–1.9M for end-July 2026, reflecting trader uncertainty over the pace of any thaw following the spring conflict and naval blockade. Persistent high inflation near 50 percent, constrained oil export revenues under maximum-pressure measures, and limited access to foreign reserves continue to exert downward pressure on the rial, while recent reports of a temporary sanctions reprieve and stock-market rebound signal potential stabilization. Key swing factors include upcoming bilateral talks, oil-price movements amid regional supply risks, and central-bank interventions, all of which could shift the free-market rate materially within the narrow resolution window. Market participants appear to price in balanced probabilities of modest appreciation versus renewed depreciation, consistent with the volatile post-conflict environment and absence of durable policy clarity.

This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).

A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.

Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-31
市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for July 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美元x伊朗裏亞爾7月底?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "低於140萬" at 50%, followed by "1,400,000-1,500,000" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"美元x伊朗裏亞爾7月底?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "美元x伊朗裏亞爾7月底?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美元x伊朗裏亞爾7月底?" is "低於140萬" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,400,000-1,500,000" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美元x伊朗裏亞爾7月底?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.