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icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

$10,551 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$10,551 交易量

Polymarket

Noah Kahan

$5 交易量

44%

The Weeknd

$0 交易量

42%

Gracie Abrams

$28 交易量

39%

Olivia Dean

$4,273 交易量

13%

Bad Bunny

$0 交易量

7%

Alex Warren

$2,031 交易量

6%

Don Toliver

$458 交易量

6%

Kanye West

$0 交易量

4%

Ariana Grande

$1,005 交易量

57%

碧昂絲

$2 交易量

45%

Taylor Swift

$88 交易量

50%

Bruno Mars

$50 交易量

41%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Ella Langley's extended reign atop the Billboard Hot 100 with "Choosin' Texas" stands as the dominant force shaping May chart outcomes, fueled by sustained streaming, sales, and radio momentum that has kept the track at number one for nine weeks as of the May 16 chart. Olivia Rodrigo's recent debut at the summit with "Drop Dead" and Bruno Mars' consistent radio push highlight how established pop and crossover artists continue to compete for weekly crowns, while emerging country-leaning entries like Langley's "Be Her" occupy multiple top spots simultaneously. New album drops and singles from Drake, Kacey Musgraves, and others arriving later in May introduce fresh variables that could trigger last-minute surges or blockades, especially as streaming platforms accelerate promotional campaigns. Traders monitoring these shifts watch for rapid changes in consumption data and airplay trends, given how quickly May's competitive landscape evolves before summer blockbusters arrive.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
交易量
$10,551
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.Ella Langley's extended reign atop the Billboard Hot 100 with "Choosin' Texas" stands as the dominant force shaping May chart outcomes, fueled by sustained streaming, sales, and radio momentum that has kept the track at number one for nine weeks as of the May 16 chart. Olivia Rodrigo's recent debut at the summit with "Drop Dead" and Bruno Mars' consistent radio push highlight how established pop and crossover artists continue to compete for weekly crowns, while emerging country-leaning entries like Langley's "Be Her" occupy multiple top spots simultaneously. New album drops and singles from Drake, Kacey Musgraves, and others arriving later in May introduce fresh variables that could trigger last-minute surges or blockades, especially as streaming platforms accelerate promotional campaigns. Traders monitoring these shifts watch for rapid changes in consumption data and airplay trends, given how quickly May's competitive landscape evolves before summer blockbusters arrive.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.
交易量
$10,551
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.

已提議結果: Yes

無爭議

最終結果: Yes

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olivia Rodrigo" at 100%, followed by "Drake" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" has generated $10.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" is "Olivia Rodrigo" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Drake" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.