This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent developments in early 2026 have clarified the path for TikTok's U.S. operations. In January, ByteDance closed a deal creating the majority American-owned TikTok USDS Joint Venture, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX each taking 15% stakes alongside other non-Chinese investors holding the balance, while ByteDance retains under 20%. This structure satisfies national security mandates on data handling, algorithm oversight, and content moderation, allowing the platform to continue serving over 200 million U.S. users without a ban. Oracle's prominent role in the consortium and leadership announcements has driven strong trader consensus around Larry Ellison's involvement, reflecting verified corporate filings and official statements rather than speculation. Traders are now watching integration milestones, such as U.S.-specific algorithm retraining and potential policy updates, that could influence final resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Recent developments in early 2026 have clarified the path for TikTok's U.S. operations. In January, ByteDance closed a deal creating the majority American-owned TikTok USDS Joint Venture, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX each taking 15% stakes alongside other non-Chinese investors holding the balance, while ByteDance retains under 20%. This structure satisfies national security mandates on data handling, algorithm oversight, and content moderation, allowing the platform to continue serving over 200 million U.S. users without a ban. Oracle's prominent role in the consortium and leadership announcements has driven strong trader consensus around Larry Ellison's involvement, reflecting verified corporate filings and official statements rather than speculation. Traders are now watching integration milestones, such as U.S.-specific algorithm retraining and potential policy updates, that could influence final resolution.
TikTok completed the deal to spin off its U.S. operations into a new joint venture with American investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX. This official announcement confirmed the formation of the new U.S. entity under defined safeguards, resolving the market uncertainty about TikTok's ownership and operation in the U.S.
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to keep operating in US
TikTok announced the completion of the deal to establish a U.S.-based version of the app under majority American control, ending a yearslong battle over access to the app in the U.S. The new joint venture includes Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as major investors, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake, confirming the official acquisition structure.
May 7 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new US joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok announced the completion of a deal to spin off its US operations into a new joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and Emirati firm MGX, each holding 15% stakes, while ByteDance retains 19.9%. The new entity will operate under safeguards for national security, including data protection and algorithm retraining on US data. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats of a US ban, causing market prices for acquisition outcomes to stabilize.
May 7 2026
TikTok deal praised by Donald Trump on social media
Former President Donald Trump publicly praised the TikTok deal on social media, thanking Chinese leader Xi Jinping for approving the deal and expressing hope to be remembered by TikTok users. Trump's endorsement highlighted the political significance of the deal and its resolution of the US regulatory impasse, influencing market sentiment.
Jan 22 2026
TikTok signs deal to form new US unit with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok signed binding agreements with major investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to create a new TikTok U.S. joint venture, ensuring continued operation in the U.S. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats, including a potential ban, and was a critical step toward compliance with U.S. national security concerns.
Dec 14 2025
TikTok finalizes deal to form new U.S. joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 2%9%
TikTok announced a partnership with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX to spin off its U.S. operations into a new entity, removing the immediate threat of a forced sale or ban and lowering market expectations for a takeover by any listed buyer.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent developments in early 2026 have clarified the path for TikTok's U.S. operations. In January, ByteDance closed a deal creating the majority American-owned TikTok USDS Joint Venture, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX each taking 15% stakes alongside other non-Chinese investors holding the balance, while ByteDance retains under 20%. This structure satisfies national security mandates on data handling, algorithm oversight, and content moderation, allowing the platform to continue serving over 200 million U.S. users without a ban. Oracle's prominent role in the consortium and leadership announcements has driven strong trader consensus around Larry Ellison's involvement, reflecting verified corporate filings and official statements rather than speculation. Traders are now watching integration milestones, such as U.S.-specific algorithm retraining and potential policy updates, that could influence final resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
Recent developments in early 2026 have clarified the path for TikTok's U.S. operations. In January, ByteDance closed a deal creating the majority American-owned TikTok USDS Joint Venture, with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX each taking 15% stakes alongside other non-Chinese investors holding the balance, while ByteDance retains under 20%. This structure satisfies national security mandates on data handling, algorithm oversight, and content moderation, allowing the platform to continue serving over 200 million U.S. users without a ban. Oracle's prominent role in the consortium and leadership announcements has driven strong trader consensus around Larry Ellison's involvement, reflecting verified corporate filings and official statements rather than speculation. Traders are now watching integration milestones, such as U.S.-specific algorithm retraining and potential policy updates, that could influence final resolution.
TikTok completed the deal to spin off its U.S. operations into a new joint venture with American investors, including Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX. This official announcement confirmed the formation of the new U.S. entity under defined safeguards, resolving the market uncertainty about TikTok's ownership and operation in the U.S.
May 8 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to keep operating in US
TikTok announced the completion of the deal to establish a U.S.-based version of the app under majority American control, ending a yearslong battle over access to the app in the U.S. The new joint venture includes Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX as major investors, with ByteDance retaining a minority stake, confirming the official acquisition structure.
May 7 2026
TikTok finalizes deal to form new US joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok announced the completion of a deal to spin off its US operations into a new joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake, and Emirati firm MGX, each holding 15% stakes, while ByteDance retains 19.9%. The new entity will operate under safeguards for national security, including data protection and algorithm retraining on US data. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats of a US ban, causing market prices for acquisition outcomes to stabilize.
May 7 2026
TikTok deal praised by Donald Trump on social media
Former President Donald Trump publicly praised the TikTok deal on social media, thanking Chinese leader Xi Jinping for approving the deal and expressing hope to be remembered by TikTok users. Trump's endorsement highlighted the political significance of the deal and its resolution of the US regulatory impasse, influencing market sentiment.
Jan 22 2026
TikTok signs deal to form new US unit with Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX
TikTok signed binding agreements with major investors Oracle, Silver Lake, and MGX to create a new TikTok U.S. joint venture, ensuring continued operation in the U.S. This deal ended years of uncertainty and regulatory threats, including a potential ban, and was a critical step toward compliance with U.S. national security concerns.
Dec 14 2025
TikTok finalizes deal to form new U.S. joint venture with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX
Elon Musk / X (Twitter) drops to 2%9%
TikTok announced a partnership with Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX to spin off its U.S. operations into a new entity, removing the immediate threat of a forced sale or ban and lowering market expectations for a takeover by any listed buyer.
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions
"誰將收購TikTok ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "拉里·埃里森/甲骨文" at 100%, followed by "AppLovin" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "誰將收購TikTok ？" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "誰將收購TikTok ？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "誰將收購TikTok ？" is "拉里·埃里森/甲骨文" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "AppLovin" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "誰將收購TikTok ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "誰將收購TikTok ？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1 million traded on “誰將收購TikTok ？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "誰將收購TikTok ？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "拉里·埃里森/甲骨文" in the "誰將收購TikTok ？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "拉里·埃里森/甲骨文" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "誰將收購TikTok ？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "誰將收購TikTok ？" market has an active community of 42 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "誰將收購TikTok ？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions