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icon for 誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？
運動·Mma

誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？

icon for 誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？
運動·Mma

誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？

卡洛斯·烏爾伯格 88%

馬戈梅德·安卡拉耶夫 4.5%

Alex Pereira 1.6%

Khalil Rountree Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$1,007,261 交易量

卡洛斯·烏爾伯格 88%

馬戈梅德·安卡拉耶夫 4.5%

Alex Pereira 1.6%

Khalil Rountree Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$1,007,261 交易量

卡洛斯·烏爾伯格

$9,855 交易量

88%

馬戈梅德·安卡拉耶夫

$35,595 交易量

5%

Alex Pereira

$17,712 交易量

2%

Khalil Rountree Jr.

$144,301 交易量

1%

Bogdan Guskov

$264,800 交易量

1%

伊日·普羅哈茲卡

$426,433 交易量

1%

沃爾坎·厄茲德米爾

$36,599 交易量

1%

Nikita Krylov

$693 交易量

1%

揚·布拉霍維奇

$1,350 交易量

<1%

阿扎馬特·穆爾扎卡諾夫

$2,142 交易量

<1%

多米尼克·雷耶斯

$8,226 交易量

<1%

賈馬哈爾·希爾

$59,554 交易量

<1%

保羅·科斯塔

$0 交易量

-

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**Carlos Ulberg captured the vacant UFC Light Heavyweight title with a first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 in April 2026, fighting through a torn ACL that has kept him sidelined since.** With recovery timelines pointing to an early 2027 return at the earliest and no title defenses or interim bouts scheduled for the remainder of 2026, trader consensus heavily favors the New Zealander retaining the belt through year-end. The division’s top contenders, including Magomed Ankalaev and Alex Pereira, remain active but lack immediate paths to strip or supplant Ulberg without UFC intervention. While an interim title or rare stripping scenario could theoretically shift the landscape, the current absence of such developments underpins Ulberg’s dominant implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
交易量
$1,007,261
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).**Carlos Ulberg captured the vacant UFC Light Heavyweight title with a first-round knockout of Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 in April 2026, fighting through a torn ACL that has kept him sidelined since.** With recovery timelines pointing to an early 2027 return at the earliest and no title defenses or interim bouts scheduled for the remainder of 2026, trader consensus heavily favors the New Zealander retaining the belt through year-end. The division’s top contenders, including Magomed Ankalaev and Alex Pereira, remain active but lack immediate paths to strip or supplant Ulberg without UFC intervention. While an interim title or rare stripping scenario could theoretically shift the landscape, the current absence of such developments underpins Ulberg’s dominant implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
交易量
$1,007,261
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "卡洛斯·烏爾伯格" at 88%, followed by "馬戈梅德·安卡拉耶夫" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？" is "卡洛斯·烏爾伯格" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬戈梅德·安卡拉耶夫" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2026年底成為UFC輕量級冠軍？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.