Petr Yan's return to the Octagon centers on a high-stakes trilogy rematch with Merab Dvalishvili, the market’s clear frontrunner at over 70 percent implied probability. After Yan reclaimed the bantamweight title via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025, both fighters and UFC officials confirmed the immediate follow-up once recovery timelines align, with Yan sidelined until at least summer 2026 following minor back surgery. Dvalishvili’s recent comments to Ariel Helwani reinforced an August target date, cementing the matchup in trader consensus. Lower-priced options such as Sean O’Malley and Umar Nurmagomedov reflect strong division depth but trail due to recent title bouts and ranking considerations that position Dvalishvili as the logical next defense for the Russian champion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於梅拉布‧德瓦利什維利 74%
肖恩·奧馬利 13.1%
烏馬爾·努爾瑪戈梅多夫 5.6%
宋亞東 1.0%
$1,039,754 交易量
$1,039,754 交易量
梅拉布‧德瓦利什維利
74%
肖恩·奧馬利
13%
烏馬爾·努爾瑪戈梅多夫
6%
宋亞東
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
佩德羅·穆尼奧斯
1%
亞歷山大·沃爾卡諾夫斯基
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
亞歷山大·潘托哈
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
里奇·西蒙
<1%
亨利·塞胡多
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
梅拉布‧德瓦利什維利 74%
肖恩·奧馬利 13.1%
烏馬爾·努爾瑪戈梅多夫 5.6%
宋亞東 1.0%
$1,039,754 交易量
$1,039,754 交易量
梅拉布‧德瓦利什維利
74%
肖恩·奧馬利
13%
烏馬爾·努爾瑪戈梅多夫
6%
宋亞東
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
佩德羅·穆尼奧斯
1%
亞歷山大·沃爾卡諾夫斯基
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
亞歷山大·潘托哈
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
里奇·西蒙
<1%
亨利·塞胡多
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan's return to the Octagon centers on a high-stakes trilogy rematch with Merab Dvalishvili, the market’s clear frontrunner at over 70 percent implied probability. After Yan reclaimed the bantamweight title via unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025, both fighters and UFC officials confirmed the immediate follow-up once recovery timelines align, with Yan sidelined until at least summer 2026 following minor back surgery. Dvalishvili’s recent comments to Ariel Helwani reinforced an August target date, cementing the matchup in trader consensus. Lower-priced options such as Sean O’Malley and Umar Nurmagomedov reflect strong division depth but trail due to recent title bouts and ranking considerations that position Dvalishvili as the logical next defense for the Russian champion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions