The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed in August 2026 by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence modeled on NATO’s Article 5 while remaining open to expansion through a formal accession process. Trader focus centers on Egypt, which participates in the related R4 consultative framework and whose officials have confirmed constitutional and legal reviews, with Turkish statements describing it as a likely early addition once technical matters are resolved. Pakistan has reported interest from six to seven unnamed Muslim-majority states, while Iran received an invitation in mid-August and Syria’s foreign minister signaled consideration in late August. Institutional steps, including an Istanbul ministerial meeting establishing a Saudi-based secretariat and joint defense cooperation roadmap, have advanced the framework’s readiness for new members. With the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline approaching, diplomatic progress on legal alignment and bilateral negotiations will determine whether any formal accession occurs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$63,562 交易量
2026-10-31
10月31日
6%
12月31日
25%
$63,562 交易量
10月31日
$25,181 交易量
6%
12月31日
$38,382 交易量
25%
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed in August 2026 by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence modeled on NATO’s Article 5 while remaining open to expansion through a formal accession process. Trader focus centers on Egypt, which participates in the related R4 consultative framework and whose officials have confirmed constitutional and legal reviews, with Turkish statements describing it as a likely early addition once technical matters are resolved. Pakistan has reported interest from six to seven unnamed Muslim-majority states, while Iran received an invitation in mid-August and Syria’s foreign minister signaled consideration in late August. Institutional steps, including an Istanbul ministerial meeting establishing a Saudi-based secretariat and joint defense cooperation roadmap, have advanced the framework’s readiness for new members. With the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline approaching, diplomatic progress on legal alignment and bilateral negotiations will determine whether any formal accession occurs.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
交易量
$63,562結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 8:09 PM ETThe Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed in August 2026 by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence modeled on NATO’s Article 5 while remaining open to expansion through a formal accession process. Trader focus centers on Egypt, which participates in the related R4 consultative framework and whose officials have confirmed constitutional and legal reviews, with Turkish statements describing it as a likely early addition once technical matters are resolved. Pakistan has reported interest from six to seven unnamed Muslim-majority states, while Iran received an invitation in mid-August and Syria’s foreign minister signaled consideration in late August. Institutional steps, including an Istanbul ministerial meeting establishing a Saudi-based secretariat and joint defense cooperation roadmap, have advanced the framework’s readiness for new members. With the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline approaching, diplomatic progress on legal alignment and bilateral negotiations will determine whether any formal accession occurs.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$63,562結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 8:09 PM ETThe Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed in August 2026 by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence modeled on NATO’s Article 5 while remaining open to expansion through a formal accession process. Trader focus centers on Egypt, which participates in the related R4 consultative framework and whose officials have confirmed constitutional and legal reviews, with Turkish statements describing it as a likely early addition once technical matters are resolved. Pakistan has reported interest from six to seven unnamed Muslim-majority states, while Iran received an invitation in mid-August and Syria’s foreign minister signaled consideration in late August. Institutional steps, including an Istanbul ministerial meeting establishing a Saudi-based secretariat and joint defense cooperation roadmap, have advanced the framework’s readiness for new members. With the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline approaching, diplomatic progress on legal alignment and bilateral negotiations will determine whether any formal accession occurs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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