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icon for 在2026年艾美獎期間,有人會侮辱唐納德·特朗普嗎?

在2026年艾美獎期間,有人會侮辱唐納德·特朗普嗎?

icon for 在2026年艾美獎期間,有人會侮辱唐納德·特朗普嗎?

在2026年艾美獎期間,有人會侮辱唐納德·特朗普嗎?

2% 機率
Polymarket

$8,920 交易量

2% 機率
Polymarket

$8,920 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.The 2026 Emmy Awards ceremony on September 14 remained notably low-key, with host Mariska Hargitay steering clear of political commentary and most winners focusing on craft rather than current events. Producers appear to have enforced tighter scripting and timing controls compared to past awards shows, limiting opportunities for on-air jabs despite Hollywood's well-documented tensions with President Trump. Pre-ceremony signals like Jimmy Kimmel's FYC campaign highlighting Trump's attacks and South Park's off-broadcast trolling created some trader expectations of shade, yet the live NBC broadcast featured only indirect references, such as Sally Field's positive nod to Canada amid trade disputes. This restraint, paired with the market's strict definition of a qualifying insult during the broadcast window, underpins the strong consensus behind "No."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.

A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").

A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.
交易量
$8,920
結束日期
2026-09-14
市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 9:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.The 2026 Emmy Awards ceremony on September 14 remained notably low-key, with host Mariska Hargitay steering clear of political commentary and most winners focusing on craft rather than current events. Producers appear to have enforced tighter scripting and timing controls compared to past awards shows, limiting opportunities for on-air jabs despite Hollywood's well-documented tensions with President Trump. Pre-ceremony signals like Jimmy Kimmel's FYC campaign highlighting Trump's attacks and South Park's off-broadcast trolling created some trader expectations of shade, yet the live NBC broadcast featured only indirect references, such as Sally Field's positive nod to Canada amid trade disputes. This restraint, paired with the market's strict definition of a qualifying insult during the broadcast window, underpins the strong consensus behind "No."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.

A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").

A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.
交易量
$8,920
結束日期
2026-09-14
市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 9:25 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在2026年艾美獎期間,有人會侮辱唐納德·特朗普嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "有人會在2026年艾美獎頒獎典禮上侮辱唐納德·川普嗎?" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"在2026年艾美獎期間,有人會侮辱唐納德·特朗普嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "在2026年艾美獎期間,有人會侮辱唐納德·特朗普嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在2026年艾美獎期間,有人會侮辱唐納德·特朗普嗎?" is "有人會在2026年艾美獎頒獎典禮上侮辱唐納德·川普嗎?" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在2026年艾美獎期間,有人會侮辱唐納德·特朗普嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.