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icon for Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

icon for Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

最新
2026-07-31
Polymarket

$1,426 交易量

Polymarket

June 30

$468 交易量

1%

July 31

$419 交易量

89%

August 31

$539 交易量

98%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ariana Grande’s eighth studio album *petal* (stylized lowercase) is slated for July 31, 2026, via her Babydoll Music imprint under Republic Records, following its April 28 announcement and the May 29 release of lead single “Hate That I Made You Love Me.” Recording wrapped between January and April, with executive production and co-writing credits shared with Ilya and contributions from Max Martin, while pre-orders for multiple physical and digital formats remain active alongside an active *Eternal Sunshine* tour. No production setbacks or schedule shifts have surfaced in credible reporting, and ongoing promotional activity—including merch drops and Spotify pre-save pages—signals standard rollout momentum typical of major-label pop campaigns. Traders are watching for any last-minute delays common in album cycles, though the fixed date and completed asset pipeline currently anchor strong consensus around an on-time arrival.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,426
結束日期
2026-07-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ariana Grande’s eighth studio album *petal* (stylized lowercase) is slated for July 31, 2026, via her Babydoll Music imprint under Republic Records, following its April 28 announcement and the May 29 release of lead single “Hate That I Made You Love Me.” Recording wrapped between January and April, with executive production and co-writing credits shared with Ilya and contributions from Max Martin, while pre-orders for multiple physical and digital formats remain active alongside an active *Eternal Sunshine* tour. No production setbacks or schedule shifts have surfaced in credible reporting, and ongoing promotional activity—including merch drops and Spotify pre-save pages—signals standard rollout momentum typical of major-label pop campaigns. Traders are watching for any last-minute delays common in album cycles, though the fixed date and completed asset pipeline currently anchor strong consensus around an on-time arrival.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,426
結束日期
2026-07-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "August 31" at 98%, followed by "July 31" at 89%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" is "August 31" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 31" at 89%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.