ArrowCS's consistent denial of the long-running chat dare, reinforced by dedicated "I DON’T EAT BUGS" merch and repeated on-stream clarifications, anchors trader consensus around an 87.7% implied probability for No. As a top CS2 streamer with a packed schedule of competitive matches and no recent roster or performance shifts signaling willingness to engage the meme, he has shown strong form in maintaining boundaries during broadcasts. Head-to-head history with similar viewer challenges favors resistance, and no late scratches or external pressures have altered the dynamic in the past month. While upsets remain possible in unpredictable stream environments, the absence of qualifying footage or schedule changes supports the market's lean toward resolution as No.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
市場開放時間: Jul 17, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
"Eating a bug" refers to ArrowCS placing any part of the body of an insect or other arthropod (such as a cricket, ant, beetle, or similar) into his mouth and closing his mouth during a live broadcast.
A qualifying bug may be alive, dead, cooked, raw, or otherwise prepared provided it is a recognizable part of the body of an insect or other arthropod.
The relevant part of the body of an insect or other arthropod must be a discrete item and retain its original physical form. Processed or insect-derived products, such as insect flour, protein bars, or snacks containing ground insects, will not count.
ArrowCS must close his mouth with the relevant bug inside, defined as his two lips being completely shut. Merely holding, licking, or placing a bug in the mouth without closure will not count. If he later removes the bug from his mouth after a qualifying action, that will have no bearing on resolution of this market.
The full act as described above must be clearly broadcast on a livestream to qualify. Pre-recorded or edited footage that is not part of a live broadcast will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be qualifying livestream footage.
ArrowCS's consistent denial of the long-running chat dare, reinforced by dedicated "I DON’T EAT BUGS" merch and repeated on-stream clarifications, anchors trader consensus around an 87.7% implied probability for No. As a top CS2 streamer with a packed schedule of competitive matches and no recent roster or performance shifts signaling willingness to engage the meme, he has shown strong form in maintaining boundaries during broadcasts. Head-to-head history with similar viewer challenges favors resistance, and no late scratches or external pressures have altered the dynamic in the past month. While upsets remain possible in unpredictable stream environments, the absence of qualifying footage or schedule changes supports the market's lean toward resolution as No.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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