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icon for 鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？

鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？

icon for 鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？

鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？

是

7% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

7% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.**Clavicular (Braden Peters), the looksmaxxing streamer, visited Tel Aviv in early July 2026 amid significant backlash from his audience over his past associations with figures like Nick Fuentes.** His trip drew taunts from followers using phrases like “kiss the wall” as mockery for engaging with Israel, alongside an AI-generated image circulating online, but he remained in Tel Aviv nightlife venues without traveling to Jerusalem. No verified reports or announcements since then indicate plans for a Western Wall visit or the specific gesture before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Traders assign a 93.7% implied probability to “No” based on this pattern, the audience-driven resistance within his community, and the absence of any subsequent political, travel, or public commitments that would alter the trajectory. Resolution requires clear photographic or video evidence of direct lip contact with the stones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice.

The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,721
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.**Clavicular (Braden Peters), the looksmaxxing streamer, visited Tel Aviv in early July 2026 amid significant backlash from his audience over his past associations with figures like Nick Fuentes.** His trip drew taunts from followers using phrases like “kiss the wall” as mockery for engaging with Israel, alongside an AI-generated image circulating online, but he remained in Tel Aviv nightlife venues without traveling to Jerusalem. No verified reports or announcements since then indicate plans for a Western Wall visit or the specific gesture before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Traders assign a 93.7% implied probability to “No” based on this pattern, the audience-driven resistance within his community, and the absence of any subsequent political, travel, or public commitments that would alter the trajectory. Resolution requires clear photographic or video evidence of direct lip contact with the stones.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice.

The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,721
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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鎖骨相關指控是否在10月31日前撤銷？

27%
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Frequently Asked Questions

"鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？" is "鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？" at just 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "鎖骨會在2026年親吻西牆嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.