Russia maintains a primary military focus on sustained operations inside Ukraine throughout 2026, with documented plans for expanded offensives in Donbas and southern sectors rather than new fronts. Recent parliamentary legislation granting deployment authority to protect Russian citizens abroad has not triggered cross-border action beyond current lines, while resource constraints and high casualties continue to tie down forces. Western assessments highlight ongoing Russian force expansions near NATO borders as long-term positioning, not indicators of immediate 2026 incursions elsewhere. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus against additional invasions this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$167,425 交易量
$167,425 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$167,425 交易量
$167,425 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains a primary military focus on sustained operations inside Ukraine throughout 2026, with documented plans for expanded offensives in Donbas and southern sectors rather than new fronts. Recent parliamentary legislation granting deployment authority to protect Russian citizens abroad has not triggered cross-border action beyond current lines, while resource constraints and high casualties continue to tie down forces. Western assessments highlight ongoing Russian force expansions near NATO borders as long-term positioning, not indicators of immediate 2026 incursions elsewhere. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus against additional invasions this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
交易量
$167,425結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia maintains a primary military focus on sustained operations inside Ukraine throughout 2026, with documented plans for expanded offensives in Donbas and southern sectors rather than new fronts. Recent parliamentary legislation granting deployment authority to protect Russian citizens abroad has not triggered cross-border action beyond current lines, while resource constraints and high casualties continue to tie down forces. Western assessments highlight ongoing Russian force expansions near NATO borders as long-term positioning, not indicators of immediate 2026 incursions elsewhere. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus against additional invasions this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$167,425結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia maintains a primary military focus on sustained operations inside Ukraine throughout 2026, with documented plans for expanded offensives in Donbas and southern sectors rather than new fronts. Recent parliamentary legislation granting deployment authority to protect Russian citizens abroad has not triggered cross-border action beyond current lines, while resource constraints and high casualties continue to tie down forces. Western assessments highlight ongoing Russian force expansions near NATO borders as long-term positioning, not indicators of immediate 2026 incursions elsewhere. These factors underpin the strong trader consensus against additional invasions this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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