Recent developments surrounding Tiger Woods' March 2026 DUI arrest and subsequent entry into a 90-day rehabilitation program in Switzerland have significantly influenced trader sentiment, pushing the "No" outcome to a 57% implied probability. At age 50, Woods continues to manage the effects of multiple prior procedures, including back surgery with disk replacement and Achilles recovery, which have limited his competitive appearances since 2024. He skipped the Masters and PGA Championship, with USGA leadership expressing strong doubts about his participation in the U.S. Open or Senior Open. While a brief TGL appearance in March signaled some physical progress, the combination of treatment commitments, age-related healing challenges, and extended absences from PGA Tour events has reinforced market expectations that he will not compete in any official 2026 tournament.