Valve’s typical 8–12 month hero cadence since the post-7.00 era underpins the 64% market-implied odds for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo arrived in December 2025 after a lengthy gap, positioning a follow-up release within the window despite no launches through The International in August or the June Dark Carnival event. Datamined assets for an unreleased character like Arjun, featuring chariot mechanics, sustain trader optimism even as Valve favors balance patches and cosmetics over immediate hero drops. Historical precedent shows occasional longer delays, yet the compressed timeline to December 31 leaves room for a late-year surprise or further extension.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Valve會在12月31日前釋出新的Dota 2英雄嗎？
Valve會在12月31日前釋出新的Dota 2英雄嗎？
是
64% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
64% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve’s typical 8–12 month hero cadence since the post-7.00 era underpins the 64% market-implied odds for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo arrived in December 2025 after a lengthy gap, positioning a follow-up release within the window despite no launches through The International in August or the June Dark Carnival event. Datamined assets for an unreleased character like Arjun, featuring chariot mechanics, sustain trader optimism even as Valve favors balance patches and cosmetics over immediate hero drops. Historical precedent shows occasional longer delays, yet the compressed timeline to December 31 leaves room for a late-year surprise or further extension.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Valve’s typical 8–12 month hero cadence since the post-7.00 era underpins the 64% market-implied odds for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo arrived in December 2025 after a lengthy gap, positioning a follow-up release within the window despite no launches through The International in August or the June Dark Carnival event. Datamined assets for an unreleased character like Arjun, featuring chariot mechanics, sustain trader optimism even as Valve favors balance patches and cosmetics over immediate hero drops. Historical precedent shows occasional longer delays, yet the compressed timeline to December 31 leaves room for a late-year surprise or further extension.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases a new hero for Dota 2 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a "new hero" is defined as a playable hero not previously available in Dota 2 that is fully implemented and accessible to all players in the live game client. An announcement, teaser, or trailer for an upcoming hero does not qualify on its own; the hero must be playable. A hero available only in a test, beta, or experimental client does not qualify. Reworks, remakes, or renamed versions of existing heroes do not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Dota 2.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:02 PM ETValve’s typical 8–12 month hero cadence since the post-7.00 era underpins the 64% market-implied odds for a new Dota 2 hero by year-end. Largo arrived in December 2025 after a lengthy gap, positioning a follow-up release within the window despite no launches through The International in August or the June Dark Carnival event. Datamined assets for an unreleased character like Arjun, featuring chariot mechanics, sustain trader optimism even as Valve favors balance patches and cosmetics over immediate hero drops. Historical precedent shows occasional longer delays, yet the compressed timeline to December 31 leaves room for a late-year surprise or further extension.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions