The closely balanced 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 seed exiting in the opening round of Wimbledon 2026 women’s singles stems from a stacked field led by world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka, two-time champion Elena Rybakina, defending champion Iga Świątek, and Jessica Pegula. These players plus Mirra Andreeva, Coco Gauff, and Karolina Muchová have compiled strong recent grass-court results and deep Wimbledon histories that favor survival past round one. Counterbalancing this depth is the surface’s low bounce and variable conditions, which reward aggressive serving and can reward in-form qualifiers or rising players like Amanda Anisimova or Linda Nosková. Ongoing warm-up events at Queen’s and Eastbourne continue to shape form and fitness, while any late injury or draw placement against a grass-court specialist could shift sentiment quickly toward an early upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-07-12
最新
最新
2026-07-12
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Women’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.
If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely balanced 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 seed exiting in the opening round of Wimbledon 2026 women’s singles stems from a stacked field led by world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka, two-time champion Elena Rybakina, defending champion Iga Świątek, and Jessica Pegula. These players plus Mirra Andreeva, Coco Gauff, and Karolina Muchová have compiled strong recent grass-court results and deep Wimbledon histories that favor survival past round one. Counterbalancing this depth is the surface’s low bounce and variable conditions, which reward aggressive serving and can reward in-form qualifiers or rising players like Amanda Anisimova or Linda Nosková. Ongoing warm-up events at Queen’s and Eastbourne continue to shape form and fitness, while any late injury or draw placement against a grass-court specialist could shift sentiment quickly toward an early upset.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Women’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.
If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.
If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Women’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.
If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely balanced 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 seed exiting in the opening round of Wimbledon 2026 women’s singles stems from a stacked field led by world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka, two-time champion Elena Rybakina, defending champion Iga Świątek, and Jessica Pegula. These players plus Mirra Andreeva, Coco Gauff, and Karolina Muchová have compiled strong recent grass-court results and deep Wimbledon histories that favor survival past round one. Counterbalancing this depth is the surface’s low bounce and variable conditions, which reward aggressive serving and can reward in-form qualifiers or rising players like Amanda Anisimova or Linda Nosková. Ongoing warm-up events at Queen’s and Eastbourne continue to shape form and fitness, while any late injury or draw placement against a grass-court specialist could shift sentiment quickly toward an early upset.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Women’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.
If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules.
If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely balanced 50.5% implied probability on no top-10 seed exiting in the opening round of Wimbledon 2026 women’s singles stems from a stacked field led by world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka, two-time champion Elena Rybakina, defending champion Iga Świątek, and Jessica Pegula. These players plus Mirra Andreeva, Coco Gauff, and Karolina Muchová have compiled strong recent grass-court results and deep Wimbledon histories that favor survival past round one. Counterbalancing this depth is the surface’s low bounce and variable conditions, which reward aggressive serving and can reward in-form qualifiers or rising players like Amanda Anisimova or Linda Nosková. Ongoing warm-up events at Queen’s and Eastbourne continue to shape form and fitness, while any late injury or draw placement against a grass-court specialist could shift sentiment quickly toward an early upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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