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運動·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴獎得主

icon for 世界杯：金靴獎得主
運動·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴獎得主

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 15%

Erling Haaland 9%

Mikel Oyarzabal 9%

Polymarket

$8,224,639 交易量

Kylian Mbappe 16%

Harry Kane 15%

Erling Haaland 9%

Mikel Oyarzabal 9%

Polymarket

$8,224,639 交易量

Kylian Mbappe

$407,415 交易量

16%

Harry Kane

$268,281 交易量

15%

Erling Haaland

$236,943 交易量

9%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$135,824 交易量

9%

凱·哈弗茨

$16,354 交易量

5%

Lamine Yamal

$230,758 交易量

5%

Lionel Messi

$282,268 交易量

5%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$216,432 交易量

4%

Vinicius Junior

$157,740 交易量

4%

Michael Olise

$293,125 交易量

4%

Julian Alvarez

$178,586 交易量

4%

Ferran Torres

$254,794 交易量

3%

Folarin Balogun

$18,966 交易量

3%

Ousmane Dembele

$160,762 交易量

2%

Lautaro Martinez

$147,282 交易量

2%

Cody Gakpo

$70,195 交易量

2%

Raphinha

$105,396 交易量

2%

Luis Javier Suárez

$154,510 交易量

1%

Luis Diaz

$179,374 交易量

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$182,002 交易量

1%

羅梅盧·盧卡庫

$7,957 交易量

1%

弗洛里安·維爾茨

$29,386 交易量

1%

Deniz Undav

$174,949 交易量

1%

Igor Thiago

$137,746 交易量

1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$95,689 交易量

1%

Depay Memphis

$51,415 交易量

1%

Desire Doue

$130,323 交易量

1%

多尼耶爾·馬倫

$12,950 交易量

1%

孟菲斯·德佩

$6,931 交易量

1%

Bukayo Saka

$94,996 交易量

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$97,868 交易量

<1%

Dani Olmo

$180,524 交易量

<1%

Pedri

$142,184 交易量

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$114,214 交易量

<1%

Sadio Mane

$66,405 交易量

<1%

Amad Diallo

$161,573 交易量

<1%

Rafael Leao

$692,966 交易量

<1%

Noah Okafor

$191,773 交易量

<1%

Scott McTominay

$137,180 交易量

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$49,873 交易量

<1%

Federico Valverde

$912,317 交易量

<1%

恩德里克

$34,303 交易量

<1%

Rodrygo

$194,432 交易量

<1%

Edin Džeko

$139,609 交易量

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$108,091 交易量

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$108,415 交易量

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$92,248 交易量

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$71,825 交易量

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$113,932 交易量

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$167,061 交易量

<1%

蒂姆·佩恩

$198 交易量

<1%

Dion Beljo

$113,188 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 14.5% implied probability because both enter as proven tournament scorers from deep-running sides, with Mbappé defending his 2022 title and Kane seeking a second after strong club form. Erling Haaland, Mikel Oyarzabal, and Lamine Yamal sit close behind as their nations' primary threats in an expanded 48-team field that offers more matches overall. The tight clustering reflects comparable profiles—elite finishing, central attacking roles, and squads projected to reach knockout rounds—plus minimal separation after just a handful of group-stage games. Spain and France’s depth, England’s schedule, and Haaland’s first World Cup exposure keep several realistic paths open while underscoring how quickly form, minutes, and progression can shift probabilities in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,224,639
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead the Golden Boot market at 15.5% and 14.5% implied probability because both enter as proven tournament scorers from deep-running sides, with Mbappé defending his 2022 title and Kane seeking a second after strong club form. Erling Haaland, Mikel Oyarzabal, and Lamine Yamal sit close behind as their nations' primary threats in an expanded 48-team field that offers more matches overall. The tight clustering reflects comparable profiles—elite finishing, central attacking roles, and squads projected to reach knockout rounds—plus minimal separation after just a handful of group-stage games. Spain and France’s depth, England’s schedule, and Haaland’s first World Cup exposure keep several realistic paths open while underscoring how quickly form, minutes, and progression can shift probabilities in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,224,639
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界杯：金靴獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kylian Mbappe" at 16%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界杯：金靴獎得主" has generated $8.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界杯：金靴獎得主," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界杯：金靴獎得主" is "Kylian Mbappe" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界杯：金靴獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.