世界杯：金靴獎得主

Name: 世界杯：金靴獎得主
Start: 2026-04-24T17:23:23.146Z
End: 2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z

世界杯：金靴獎得主 — 討論

Bojangles194 · 2026-04-24T17:23:23.146Z

關於世界杯：金靴獎得主的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

萊昂內爾·梅西 38.6%

基利安·姆巴佩 26%

哈里·凱恩 9%

厄林·哈蘭德 8%

$35,374,049 交易量

2026-07-20

萊昂內爾·梅西

$1,097,384 交易量

39%

基利安·姆巴佩

$1,289,258 交易量

26%

哈里·凱恩

$846,273 交易量

厄林·哈蘭德

$871,654 交易量

奧斯曼·登貝萊

$1,223,683 交易量

維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾

$674,557 交易量

克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多

$1,244,909 交易量

米克爾·奧亞薩瓦爾

$963,591 交易量

拉明·亞馬爾

$864,896 交易量

德尼茲·翁達夫

$659,404 交易量

朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯

$560,717 交易量

<1%

凱·哈弗茨

$591,028 交易量

<1%

路易斯·迪亞斯

$440,184 交易量

<1%

拉奧塔羅·馬丁內斯

$450,976 交易量

<1%

Folarin Balogun

$370,826 交易量

<1%

裘德·貝靈咸

$512,216 交易量

<1%

科迪·加克波

$1,741,420 交易量

<1%

邁克爾·奧利塞

$2,108,561 交易量

<1%

拉菲尼亞

$356,226 交易量

<1%

諾亞·奧卡弗

$326,408 交易量

<1%

斯科特·麥克托米奈

$292,882 交易量

<1%

羅德里戈

$262,789 交易量

<1%

阿馬德·迪亞洛

$674,529 交易量

<1%

孫興慜

$324,299 交易量

<1%

埃丁·哲科

$286,543 交易量

<1%

伊戈爾·蒂亞戈

$1,627,557 交易量

<1%

塞爾吉·格納布里

$212,871 交易量

<1%

維克多·約克雷斯

$416,936 交易量

<1%

費蘭·托雷斯

$538,100 交易量

<1%

馬爾庫斯·圖拉姆

$178,559 交易量

<1%

伊萬·佩里西奇

$260,525 交易量

<1%

安德烈·克拉馬里奇

$247,767 交易量

<1%

穆罕默德·薩拉赫

$443,963 交易量

<1%

丹尼·奧爾莫

$436,403 交易量

<1%

德西雷·杜埃

$656,327 交易量

<1%

布拉德利·巴爾科拉

$925,002 交易量

<1%

薩迪奧·馬內

$299,173 交易量

<1%

拉斐爾·萊奧

$835,635 交易量

<1%

布卡約·薩卡

$1,552,245 交易量

<1%

布魯諾·費爾南德斯

$427,260 交易量

<1%

佩德里

$490,005 交易量

<1%

路易斯·哈維爾·蘇亞雷斯

$582,090 交易量

<1%

羅梅盧·盧卡庫

$1,426,954 交易量

<1%

多尼耶爾·馬倫

$720,499 交易量

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$484,118 交易量

<1%

迪昂·貝爾喬

$154,558 交易量

<1%

恩德里克

$692,744 交易量

<1%

弗洛里安·維爾茨

$474,381 交易量

<1%

孟菲斯·德佩

$332,879 交易量

<1%

萊昂內爾·梅西 38.6%

基利安·姆巴佩 26%

哈里·凱恩 9%

厄林·哈蘭德 8%

$35,374,049 交易量

2026-07-20

萊昂內爾·梅西

$1,097,384 交易量

39%

基利安·姆巴佩

$1,289,258 交易量

26%

哈里·凱恩

$846,273 交易量

厄林·哈蘭德

$871,654 交易量

奧斯曼·登貝萊

$1,223,683 交易量

維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾

$674,557 交易量

克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多

$1,244,909 交易量

米克爾·奧亞薩瓦爾

$963,591 交易量

拉明·亞馬爾

$864,896 交易量

德尼茲·翁達夫

$659,404 交易量

朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯

$560,717 交易量

<1%

凱·哈弗茨

$591,028 交易量

<1%

路易斯·迪亞斯

$440,184 交易量

<1%

拉奧塔羅·馬丁內斯

$450,976 交易量

<1%

Folarin Balogun

$370,826 交易量

<1%

裘德·貝靈咸

$512,216 交易量

<1%

科迪·加克波

$1,741,420 交易量

<1%

邁克爾·奧利塞

$2,108,561 交易量

<1%

拉菲尼亞

$356,226 交易量

<1%

諾亞·奧卡弗

$326,408 交易量

<1%

斯科特·麥克托米奈

$292,882 交易量

<1%

羅德里戈

$262,789 交易量

<1%

阿馬德·迪亞洛

$674,529 交易量

<1%

孫興慜

$324,299 交易量

<1%

埃丁·哲科

$286,543 交易量

<1%

伊戈爾·蒂亞戈

$1,627,557 交易量

<1%

塞爾吉·格納布里

$212,871 交易量

<1%

維克多·約克雷斯

$416,936 交易量

<1%

費蘭·托雷斯

$538,100 交易量

<1%

馬爾庫斯·圖拉姆

$178,559 交易量

<1%

伊萬·佩里西奇

$260,525 交易量

<1%

安德烈·克拉馬里奇

$247,767 交易量

<1%

穆罕默德·薩拉赫

$443,963 交易量

<1%

丹尼·奧爾莫

$436,403 交易量

<1%

德西雷·杜埃

$656,327 交易量

<1%

布拉德利·巴爾科拉

$925,002 交易量

<1%

薩迪奧·馬內

$299,173 交易量

<1%

拉斐爾·萊奧

$835,635 交易量

<1%

布卡約·薩卡

$1,552,245 交易量

<1%

布魯諾·費爾南德斯

$427,260 交易量

<1%

佩德里

$490,005 交易量

<1%

路易斯·哈維爾·蘇亞雷斯

$582,090 交易量

<1%

羅梅盧·盧卡庫

$1,426,954 交易量

<1%

多尼耶爾·馬倫

$720,499 交易量

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$484,118 交易量

<1%

迪昂·貝爾喬

$154,558 交易量

<1%

恩德里克

$692,744 交易量

<1%

弗洛里安·維爾茨

$474,381 交易量

<1%

孟菲斯·德佩

$332,879 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界杯：金靴獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "萊昂內爾·梅西" at 39%, followed by "基利安·姆巴佩" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界杯：金靴獎得主" has generated $35.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界杯：金靴獎得主," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界杯：金靴獎得主" is "萊昂內爾·梅西" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "基利安·姆巴佩" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界杯：金靴獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "世界杯：金靴獎得主." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $35.4 million traded on “世界杯：金靴獎得主,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "世界杯：金靴獎得主," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 39¢ for "萊昂內爾·梅西" in the "世界杯：金靴獎得主" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 39% chance that "萊昂內爾·梅西" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 39¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 61¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "世界杯：金靴獎得主" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jul 19, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "世界杯：金靴獎得主" market has an active community of 126 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "世界杯：金靴獎得主." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

世界杯：金靴獎得主

世界杯：金靴獎得主

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "世界杯：金靴獎得主" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "世界杯：金靴獎得主" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "世界杯：金靴獎得主"?

What are the current odds for "世界杯：金靴獎得主"?

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Can I follow "世界杯：金靴獎得主" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "世界杯：金靴獎得主" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "世界杯：金靴獎得主"?

What does a price of 39¢ for "萊昂內爾·梅西" mean?

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