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icon for 世界杯:單場比賽打破黃牌紀錄?

世界杯:單場比賽打破黃牌紀錄?

icon for 世界杯:單場比賽打破黃牌紀錄?

世界杯:單場比賽打破黃牌紀錄?

11% 機率
Polymarket
最新
11% 機率
Polymarket
最新
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current record of 18 yellow cards in a single FIFA World Cup match, set during the 2022 Argentina-Netherlands quarterfinal, stands as a significant outlier driven by intense rivalry, multiple stoppages, and referee decisions in a high-stakes knockout setting. Historical precedents show that totals near this level remain rare, even in heated encounters or derbies, with most matches featuring far fewer bookings under standard officiating protocols. The 2026 tournament's expanded 48-team format and additional matches do not inherently increase per-game physicality or disciplinary volume to the degree needed to surpass the benchmark. Traders' strong consensus on "No" reflects these patterns, as extreme card hauls require atypical circumstances unlikely to align consistently across the schedule.

Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).

This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$58
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current record of 18 yellow cards in a single FIFA World Cup match, set during the 2022 Argentina-Netherlands quarterfinal, stands as a significant outlier driven by intense rivalry, multiple stoppages, and referee decisions in a high-stakes knockout setting. Historical precedents show that totals near this level remain rare, even in heated encounters or derbies, with most matches featuring far fewer bookings under standard officiating protocols. The 2026 tournament's expanded 48-team format and additional matches do not inherently increase per-game physicality or disciplinary volume to the degree needed to surpass the benchmark. Traders' strong consensus on "No" reflects these patterns, as extreme card hauls require atypical circumstances unlikely to align consistently across the schedule.

Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).

This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$58
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界杯:單場比賽打破黃牌紀錄?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 11% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 11¢, the market collectively assigns a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"世界杯:單場比賽打破黃牌紀錄?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "世界杯:單場比賽打破黃牌紀錄?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "世界杯:單場比賽打破黃牌紀錄?" is 11% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "世界杯:單場比賽打破黃牌紀錄?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.