Spain and France sit neck-and-neck as narrow favorites in the 2026 World Cup winner market, reflecting their elite FIFA rankings, deep squads, and recent pedigree. Spain carries momentum from the Euro 2024 title behind Lamine Yamal and a balanced midfield, while France relies on Kylian Mbappé and defensive organization under Didier Deschamps. Portugal edges ahead of England on the back of Cristiano Ronaldo’s leadership and attacking options, with Brazil and Argentina close behind as South American threats. Early group-stage results, including strong host performances and Morocco’s draw with Brazil, have produced modest shifts, but the field remains tightly contested because multiple title contenders possess comparable talent, form, and knockout resilience. Trader pricing captures this parity among the top European and South American sides before deeper knockout rounds separate them.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於西班牙 16.7%
法國 16.4%
葡萄牙 11.3%
英格蘭 9.7%
$2,267,872,878 交易量
$2,267,872,878 交易量

西班牙
17%

法國
16%

葡萄牙
11%

英格蘭
10%

阿根廷
8%

巴西
7%

德國
5%

荷蘭
5%

挪威
2%

摩洛哥
2%

美國
2%

比利時
2%

日本
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

墨西哥
1%

瑞士
1%

烏拉圭
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

厄瓜多
1%

土耳其
1%

塞內加爾
1%

南韓
<1%

象牙海岸
<1%

澳洲
<1%

奧地利
<1%

加拿大
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

瑞典
<1%

伊朗
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

捷克
<1%

埃及
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

伊拉克
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
西班牙 16.7%
法國 16.4%
葡萄牙 11.3%
英格蘭 9.7%
$2,267,872,878 交易量
$2,267,872,878 交易量

西班牙
17%

法國
16%

葡萄牙
11%

英格蘭
10%

阿根廷
8%

巴西
7%

德國
5%

荷蘭
5%

挪威
2%

摩洛哥
2%

美國
2%

比利時
2%

日本
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

墨西哥
1%

瑞士
1%

烏拉圭
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

厄瓜多
1%

土耳其
1%

塞內加爾
1%

南韓
<1%

象牙海岸
<1%

澳洲
<1%

奧地利
<1%

加拿大
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

瑞典
<1%

伊朗
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

捷克
<1%

埃及
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

伊拉克
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit neck-and-neck as narrow favorites in the 2026 World Cup winner market, reflecting their elite FIFA rankings, deep squads, and recent pedigree. Spain carries momentum from the Euro 2024 title behind Lamine Yamal and a balanced midfield, while France relies on Kylian Mbappé and defensive organization under Didier Deschamps. Portugal edges ahead of England on the back of Cristiano Ronaldo’s leadership and attacking options, with Brazil and Argentina close behind as South American threats. Early group-stage results, including strong host performances and Morocco’s draw with Brazil, have produced modest shifts, but the field remains tightly contested because multiple title contenders possess comparable talent, form, and knockout resilience. Trader pricing captures this parity among the top European and South American sides before deeper knockout rounds separate them.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions