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icon for 世界杯冠軍

世界杯冠軍

icon for 世界杯冠軍

世界杯冠軍

西班牙 100.0%

紐西蘭 <1%

瑞士 <1%

英格蘭 <1%

Polymarket

$4,327,988,660 交易量

西班牙 100.0%

紐西蘭 <1%

瑞士 <1%

英格蘭 <1%

Polymarket

$4,327,988,660 交易量

icon for 西班牙

西班牙

$152,168,022 交易量

icon for 紐西蘭

紐西蘭

$47,529,247 交易量

icon for 瑞士

瑞士

$132,837,716 交易量

icon for 英格蘭

英格蘭

$110,162,254 交易量

icon for 法國

法國

$132,448,347 交易量

icon for 南韓

南韓

$107,521,229 交易量

icon for 海地

海地

$33,265,927 交易量

icon for 巴西

巴西

$81,936,875 交易量

icon for 約旦

約旦

$33,082,576 交易量

icon for 庫拉索

庫拉索

$44,007,493 交易量

icon for 阿根廷

阿根廷

$174,315,688 交易量

icon for 德國

德國

$80,873,590 交易量

icon for 哥倫比亞

哥倫比亞

$104,668,584 交易量

icon for 伊朗

伊朗

$62,233,146 交易量

icon for 葡萄牙

葡萄牙

$109,092,962 交易量

icon for 加納

加納

$89,137,687 交易量

icon for 荷蘭

荷蘭

$77,727,053 交易量

icon for 阿爾及利亞

阿爾及利亞

$90,337,041 交易量

icon for 波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$63,473,943 交易量

icon for 意大利

意大利

$8,666,273 交易量

icon for 美國

美國

$142,460,222 交易量

icon for 加拿大

加拿大

$102,858,403 交易量

icon for 土耳其

土耳其

$61,684,097 交易量

icon for 烏拉圭

烏拉圭

$78,019,362 交易量

icon for 墨西哥

墨西哥

$137,807,961 交易量

icon for 巴拉圭

巴拉圭

$107,400,631 交易量

icon for 蘇格蘭

蘇格蘭

$67,943,137 交易量

icon for 秘魯

秘魯

$264,590 交易量

icon for 日本

日本

$95,790,683 交易量

icon for 挪威

挪威

$137,345,387 交易量

icon for 突尼西亞

突尼西亞

$36,470,356 交易量

icon for 厄瓜多

厄瓜多

$96,888,032 交易量

icon for 烏茲別克

烏茲別克

$61,524,249 交易量

icon for 摩洛哥

摩洛哥

$152,254,451 交易量

icon for 巴拿馬

巴拿馬

$20,049,174 交易量

icon for 伊拉克

伊拉克

$30,615,071 交易量

icon for 南非

南非

$46,577,445 交易量

icon for 塞內加爾

塞內加爾

$80,692,766 交易量

icon for 象牙海岸

象牙海岸

$111,749,188 交易量

icon for 剛果民主共和國

剛果民主共和國

$96,120,346 交易量

icon for 佛得角

佛得角

$119,207,233 交易量

icon for 捷克

捷克

$57,485,267 交易量

icon for 卡達

卡達

$45,097,303 交易量

icon for 比利時

比利時

$129,278,677 交易量

icon for 澳洲

澳洲

$88,367,393 交易量

icon for 沙烏地阿拉伯

沙烏地阿拉伯

$57,271,837 交易量

icon for 奧地利

奧地利

$85,671,553 交易量

icon for 克羅埃西亞

克羅埃西亞

$109,483,287 交易量

icon for 埃及

埃及

$158,580,819 交易量

icon for 瑞典

瑞典

$77,544,087 交易量

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,327,988,660
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,327,988,660
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界杯冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 100%, followed by "紐西蘭" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界杯冠軍" has generated $4.3 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界杯冠軍," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界杯冠軍" is "西班牙" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "紐西蘭" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界杯冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.