Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as the two sides with the strongest combination of recent international success, squad depth, and attacking talent, though multiple high-profile injuries have narrowed the gap among the top group. Spain enters off its Euro 2024 title with a dynamic young core featuring Lamine Yamal, while France maintains elite options across positions despite omissions like Eduardo Camavinga. England, Portugal, and defending champion Argentina sit just behind, buoyed by consistent form and experience, yet hampered by fitness concerns around key attackers and defenders. Brazil faces additional setbacks with Neymar and others sidelined. The bunched probabilities reflect how these roster realities, warm-up results, and the expanded 48-team format create a highly competitive field where no single side holds a decisive edge entering the group stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於西班牙 17.0%
法國 16.1%
英格蘭 10.8%
葡萄牙 10.8%
$1,954,982,933 交易量
$1,954,982,933 交易量

西班牙
17%

法國
16%

英格蘭
11%

葡萄牙
11%

阿根廷
9%

巴西
8%

德國
5%

荷蘭
4%

挪威
2%

比利時
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

日本
2%

摩洛哥
2%

墨西哥
1%

瑞士
1%

土耳其
1%

美國
1%

烏拉圭
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

厄瓜多
1%

塞內加爾
1%

象牙海岸
<1%

奧地利
<1%

加拿大
<1%

瑞典
<1%

南韓
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

埃及
<1%

伊朗
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

捷克
<1%

澳洲
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

伊拉克
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
西班牙 17.0%
法國 16.1%
英格蘭 10.8%
葡萄牙 10.8%
$1,954,982,933 交易量
$1,954,982,933 交易量

西班牙
17%

法國
16%

英格蘭
11%

葡萄牙
11%

阿根廷
9%

巴西
8%

德國
5%

荷蘭
4%

挪威
2%

比利時
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

日本
2%

摩洛哥
2%

墨西哥
1%

瑞士
1%

土耳其
1%

美國
1%

烏拉圭
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

厄瓜多
1%

塞內加爾
1%

象牙海岸
<1%

奧地利
<1%

加拿大
<1%

瑞典
<1%

南韓
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

埃及
<1%

伊朗
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

捷克
<1%

澳洲
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

伊拉克
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as the two sides with the strongest combination of recent international success, squad depth, and attacking talent, though multiple high-profile injuries have narrowed the gap among the top group. Spain enters off its Euro 2024 title with a dynamic young core featuring Lamine Yamal, while France maintains elite options across positions despite omissions like Eduardo Camavinga. England, Portugal, and defending champion Argentina sit just behind, buoyed by consistent form and experience, yet hampered by fitness concerns around key attackers and defenders. Brazil faces additional setbacks with Neymar and others sidelined. The bunched probabilities reflect how these roster realities, warm-up results, and the expanded 48-team format create a highly competitive field where no single side holds a decisive edge entering the group stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions