Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market due to their elite FIFA rankings, recent major-tournament pedigree, and talent depth heading into the expanded 48-team event kicking off June 11 across North America. Spain enters as European champions with standout midfield control and young attackers like Lamine Yamal, while France counters with world-class forwards and defensive organization despite minor ranking fluctuations. England, Portugal, defending champions Argentina, and Brazil follow closely, bolstered by consistent qualifying results, strong domestic leagues, and proven knockout experience. The bunched probabilities reflect genuine parity among these sides, where minor injuries, form dips, or matchup luck in the group stage could shift momentum in a wide-open field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於西班牙 17.0%
法國 16.1%
英格蘭 10.8%
葡萄牙 10.8%
$1,964,168,203 交易量
$1,964,168,203 交易量

西班牙
17%

法國
16%

英格蘭
11%

葡萄牙
11%

阿根廷
9%

巴西
8%

德國
5%

荷蘭
4%

挪威
2%

比利時
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

日本
2%

摩洛哥
2%

墨西哥
1%

瑞士
1%

美國
1%

土耳其
1%

烏拉圭
1%

厄瓜多
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

塞內加爾
1%

象牙海岸
<1%

奧地利
<1%

加拿大
<1%

瑞典
<1%

南韓
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

埃及
<1%

伊朗
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

捷克
<1%

澳洲
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

伊拉克
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
西班牙 17.0%
法國 16.1%
英格蘭 10.8%
葡萄牙 10.8%
$1,964,168,203 交易量
$1,964,168,203 交易量

西班牙
17%

法國
16%

英格蘭
11%

葡萄牙
11%

阿根廷
9%

巴西
8%

德國
5%

荷蘭
4%

挪威
2%

比利時
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

日本
2%

摩洛哥
2%

墨西哥
1%

瑞士
1%

美國
1%

土耳其
1%

烏拉圭
1%

厄瓜多
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

塞內加爾
1%

象牙海岸
<1%

奧地利
<1%

加拿大
<1%

瑞典
<1%

南韓
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

埃及
<1%

伊朗
<1%

加納
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

捷克
<1%

澳洲
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

伊拉克
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market due to their elite FIFA rankings, recent major-tournament pedigree, and talent depth heading into the expanded 48-team event kicking off June 11 across North America. Spain enters as European champions with standout midfield control and young attackers like Lamine Yamal, while France counters with world-class forwards and defensive organization despite minor ranking fluctuations. England, Portugal, defending champions Argentina, and Brazil follow closely, bolstered by consistent qualifying results, strong domestic leagues, and proven knockout experience. The bunched probabilities reflect genuine parity among these sides, where minor injuries, form dips, or matchup luck in the group stage could shift momentum in a wide-open field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions