Argentina enters the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal as the defending champion with Lionel Messi leading a squad that produced a dramatic 3-2 comeback victory over Egypt on July 7 after trailing 2-0 late. This momentum, combined with superior attacking depth and historical success in knockout stages, underpins the 57.5% implied probability. Switzerland reached the same stage by edging Colombia 4-3 on penalties following a scoreless draw, showcasing disciplined defending and set-piece resilience that supports their 16.5% chance. The 27.5% draw price reflects the evenly matched styles typical of World Cup knockouts, where one defensive lapse or extra-time breakthrough can decide advancement to the semifinals in Kansas City on July 11.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

Team to Advance
$355K 交易量
Moneyline
常規時間$596K 交易量
讓分
常規時間$46.0K 交易量
總分
常規時間$231K 交易量
Both Teams to Score?
常規時間$16.2K 交易量
First Team to Score
常規時間$4.9K 交易量
Argentina Totals
常規時間$13.7K 交易量
Switzerland Totals
常規時間$6.5K 交易量
Extra Time?
$2.1K 交易量
Penalty Shootout?
$940 交易量
If Argentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
市場開放時間: Jul 8, 2026, 6:01 AM ET


Team to Advance
$355K 交易量
Moneyline
常規時間$596K 交易量
讓分
常規時間$46.0K 交易量
總分
常規時間$231K 交易量
Both Teams to Score?
常規時間$16.2K 交易量
First Team to Score
常規時間$4.9K 交易量
Argentina Totals
常規時間$13.7K 交易量
Switzerland Totals
常規時間$6.5K 交易量
Extra Time?
$2.1K 交易量
Penalty Shootout?
$940 交易量
If Argentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
市場開放時間: Jul 8, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Argentina enters the FIFA World Cup 2026 quarterfinal as the defending champion with Lionel Messi leading a squad that produced a dramatic 3-2 comeback victory over Egypt on July 7 after trailing 2-0 late. This momentum, combined with superior attacking depth and historical success in knockout stages, underpins the 57.5% implied probability. Switzerland reached the same stage by edging Colombia 4-3 on penalties following a scoreless draw, showcasing disciplined defending and set-piece resilience that supports their 16.5% chance. The 27.5% draw price reflects the evenly matched styles typical of World Cup knockouts, where one defensive lapse or extra-time breakthrough can decide advancement to the semifinals in Kansas City on July 11.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions