The bunched pricing around 49.5% for dozens of players in the BMW Championship first-round leader market at Bellerive Country Club reflects the inherent variance of opening-round scoring on a demanding, tree-lined layout that rewards accurate ball-striking and course management over raw power. The top-50 field, finalized after the FedEx St. Jude Championship, features broad depth with no dominant recent form edge; players such as Ludvig Åberg, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy carry strong ball-striking metrics and prior playoff experience, yet first-round conditions and pin placements create parity. Weather forecasts and typical Thursday scoring averages further flatten probabilities, as even mid-tier qualifiers like Jacob Bridgeman or Bud Cauley can post low rounds on a given day. This distribution captures trader consensus on the event’s unpredictability heading into the August 18 start.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Nicolas Echavarria 49%
Kristoffer Reitan 49%
Matt Fitzpatrick 49%
Tommy Fleetwood 49%
Nicolas Echavarria
49%
Kristoffer Reitan
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Jake Knapp
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Matt McCarty
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Ludvig Aberg
49%
Jacob Bridgeman
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Wyndham Clark
49%
Ryan Fox
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Ben Griffin
49%
Ryo Hisatsune
49%
Nicolai Hojgaard
49%
Min Woo Lee
49%
Hideki Matsuyama
49%
Rory McIlroy
49%
Maverick McNealy
49%
Keith Mitchell
49%
Adam Scott
49%
J.J. Spaun
49%
Michael Thorbjornsen
49%
Cameron Young
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Alexander Noren
49%
Xander Schauffele
49%
Akshay Bhatia
45%
Sam Burns
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
28%
Rickie Fowler
28%
Kurt Kitayama
28%
JT Poston
28%
Justin Rose
28%
Sepp Straka
28%
Michael Brennan
28%
Patrick Cantlay
28%
Russell Henley
28%
Viktor Hovland
28%
Si Woo Kim
28%
Alex Smalley
28%
Sahith Theegala
28%
Justin Thomas
28%
Eric Cole
27%
Ryan Gerard
27%
Tom Kim
27%
Scottie Scheffler
27%
Nicolas Echavarria 49%
Kristoffer Reitan 49%
Matt Fitzpatrick 49%
Tommy Fleetwood 49%
Nicolas Echavarria
49%
Kristoffer Reitan
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Jake Knapp
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Matt McCarty
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Ludvig Aberg
49%
Jacob Bridgeman
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Wyndham Clark
49%
Ryan Fox
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Ben Griffin
49%
Ryo Hisatsune
49%
Nicolai Hojgaard
49%
Min Woo Lee
49%
Hideki Matsuyama
49%
Rory McIlroy
49%
Maverick McNealy
49%
Keith Mitchell
49%
Adam Scott
49%
J.J. Spaun
49%
Michael Thorbjornsen
49%
Cameron Young
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Alexander Noren
49%
Xander Schauffele
49%
Akshay Bhatia
45%
Sam Burns
34%
Alex Fitzpatrick
28%
Rickie Fowler
28%
Kurt Kitayama
28%
JT Poston
28%
Justin Rose
28%
Sepp Straka
28%
Michael Brennan
28%
Patrick Cantlay
28%
Russell Henley
28%
Viktor Hovland
28%
Si Woo Kim
28%
Alex Smalley
28%
Sahith Theegala
28%
Justin Thomas
28%
Eric Cole
27%
Ryan Gerard
27%
Tom Kim
27%
Scottie Scheffler
27%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 BMW Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The bunched pricing around 49.5% for dozens of players in the BMW Championship first-round leader market at Bellerive Country Club reflects the inherent variance of opening-round scoring on a demanding, tree-lined layout that rewards accurate ball-striking and course management over raw power. The top-50 field, finalized after the FedEx St. Jude Championship, features broad depth with no dominant recent form edge; players such as Ludvig Åberg, Scottie Scheffler, and Rory McIlroy carry strong ball-striking metrics and prior playoff experience, yet first-round conditions and pin placements create parity. Weather forecasts and typical Thursday scoring averages further flatten probabilities, as even mid-tier qualifiers like Jacob Bridgeman or Bud Cauley can post low rounds on a given day. This distribution captures trader consensus on the event’s unpredictability heading into the August 18 start.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题