Kimi Antonelli’s strong early 2026 campaign, including three consecutive Grand Prix victories after the Australian opener, has positioned the Mercedes rookie atop the drivers’ championship and shaped trader consensus around his 38.1% implied probability. George Russell, the preseason favorite and Antonelli’s teammate, sits 20 points behind after four rounds, keeping his own 30.5% chance competitive due to experience and the team’s clear pace advantage. Midfield contenders such as Lando Norris and Max Verstappen trail further in the standings, reflecting their respective constructors’ current form and limiting their near-term title paths, while the overall market remains fluid with the bulk of the season still ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于基米·安托内利 38.1%
分组项标题：乔治·罗素 31%
兰多·诺里斯 11.6%
马克斯·维斯塔潘 6.2%
$150,161,160 交易量
$150,161,160 交易量
2026-12-06
基米·安托内利
38%
分组项标题：乔治·罗素
31%
兰多·诺里斯
12%
马克斯·维斯塔潘
6%
奥斯卡·皮亚斯特里
5%
夏尔·勒克莱尔
5%
路易斯·汉密尔顿
2%
费尔南多·阿隆索
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
分组项标题：尼科·胡尔肯贝格
<1%
阿维德·林德布拉德
<1%
加布里埃尔·博托莱托
<1%
弗兰科·科拉平托
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
瓦尔特里·博塔斯
<1%
皮埃尔·加斯利
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
分组项标题：卡洛斯·塞恩斯 Jr.
<1%
塞尔吉奥·佩雷斯
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
兰斯·斯特罗尔
<1%
奥利弗·贝尔曼
<1%
基米·安托内利 38.1%
分组项标题：乔治·罗素 31%
兰多·诺里斯 11.6%
马克斯·维斯塔潘 6.2%
$150,161,160 交易量
$150,161,160 交易量
2026-12-06
基米·安托内利
$3,046,258 交易量
38%
分组项标题：乔治·罗素
$1,763,086 交易量
31%
兰多·诺里斯
$2,160,729 交易量
12%
马克斯·维斯塔潘
$2,011,526 交易量
6%
奥斯卡·皮亚斯特里
$1,797,771 交易量
5%
夏尔·勒克莱尔
$2,879,156 交易量
5%
路易斯·汉密尔顿
$3,833,821 交易量
2%
费尔南多·阿隆索
$7,060,282 交易量
<1%
Esteban Ocon
$7,589,999 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：尼科·胡尔肯贝格
$6,551,767 交易量
<1%
阿维德·林德布拉德
$10,012,416 交易量
<1%
加布里埃尔·博托莱托
$9,030,081 交易量
<1%
弗兰科·科拉平托
$10,229,504 交易量
<1%
Alexander Albon
$9,809,348 交易量
<1%
瓦尔特里·博塔斯
$10,314,365 交易量
<1%
皮埃尔·加斯利
$8,830,797 交易量
<1%
Liam Lawson
$9,231,387 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：卡洛斯·塞恩斯 Jr.
$8,733,247 交易量
<1%
塞尔吉奥·佩雷斯
$8,695,350 交易量
<1%
Isack Hadjar
$6,885,658 交易量
<1%
兰斯·斯特罗尔
$9,739,010 交易量
<1%
奥利弗·贝尔曼
$9,956,427 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s strong early 2026 campaign, including three consecutive Grand Prix victories after the Australian opener, has positioned the Mercedes rookie atop the drivers’ championship and shaped trader consensus around his 38.1% implied probability. George Russell, the preseason favorite and Antonelli’s teammate, sits 20 points behind after four rounds, keeping his own 30.5% chance competitive due to experience and the team’s clear pace advantage. Midfield contenders such as Lando Norris and Max Verstappen trail further in the standings, reflecting their respective constructors’ current form and limiting their near-term title paths, while the overall market remains fluid with the bulk of the season still ahead.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$150,161,160结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli’s strong early 2026 campaign, including three consecutive Grand Prix victories after the Australian opener, has positioned the Mercedes rookie atop the drivers’ championship and shaped trader consensus around his 38.1% implied probability. George Russell, the preseason favorite and Antonelli’s teammate, sits 20 points behind after four rounds, keeping his own 30.5% chance competitive due to experience and the team’s clear pace advantage. Midfield contenders such as Lando Norris and Max Verstappen trail further in the standings, reflecting their respective constructors’ current form and limiting their near-term title paths, while the overall market remains fluid with the bulk of the season still ahead.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
交易量
$150,161,160结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli’s strong early 2026 campaign, including three consecutive Grand Prix victories after the Australian opener, has positioned the Mercedes rookie atop the drivers’ championship and shaped trader consensus around his 38.1% implied probability. George Russell, the preseason favorite and Antonelli’s teammate, sits 20 points behind after four rounds, keeping his own 30.5% chance competitive due to experience and the team’s clear pace advantage. Midfield contenders such as Lando Norris and Max Verstappen trail further in the standings, reflecting their respective constructors’ current form and limiting their near-term title paths, while the overall market remains fluid with the bulk of the season still ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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