With the 2026 FIFA World Cup just weeks away and all 48 nations qualified, trader sentiment reflects a tightly contested field led by France, Spain, and England. Recent UEFA Nations League results and strong qualifying campaigns have highlighted France’s squad depth and attacking options alongside Spain’s tactical cohesion and possession dominance. England’s consistent European form and Brazil’s traditional talent pool keep pressure on the leaders, while Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree adds further balance. The bunched probabilities underscore how minor roster adjustments, injury recoveries, or group-stage outcomes could quickly shift momentum among these elite sides before the June kickoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法国 18.3%
西班牙 16.7%
英格兰 11.3%
巴西 9.2%
$1,013,188,406 交易量
$1,013,188,406 交易量
2026-07-20
法国
18%
西班牙
17%
英格兰
11%
巴西
9%
阿根廷
8%
葡萄牙
8%
德国
5%
荷兰
3%
挪威
2%
日本
2%
比利时
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
2%
美国
2%
摩洛哥
2%
瑞士
1%
乌拉圭
1%
墨西哥
1%
克罗地亚
1%
厄瓜多尔
1%
塞内加尔
1%
土耳其
1%
Austria
1%
瑞典
1%
分组项标题：加拿大
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
苏格兰
<1%
科特迪瓦
<1%
埃及
<1%
加纳
<1%
阿尔及利亚
<1%
波黑
<1%
捷克
<1%
澳大利亚
<1%
新西兰
<1%
海地
<1%
约旦
<1%
库拉索
<1%
伊朗
<1%
突尼斯
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
巴拿马
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
南非
<1%
刚果（金）
<1%
佛得角
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
<1%
法国 18.3%
西班牙 16.7%
英格兰 11.3%
巴西 9.2%
$1,013,188,406 交易量
$1,013,188,406 交易量
2026-07-20
法国
$27,231,297 交易量
18%
西班牙
$21,444,179 交易量
17%
英格兰
$17,650,019 交易量
11%
巴西
$18,893,458 交易量
9%
阿根廷
$18,461,232 交易量
8%
葡萄牙
$20,188,773 交易量
8%
德国
$17,228,929 交易量
5%
荷兰
$19,293,523 交易量
3%
挪威
$17,783,972 交易量
2%
日本
$22,043,688 交易量
2%
比利时
$16,859,024 交易量
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
$15,744,433 交易量
2%
美国
$32,321,850 交易量
2%
摩洛哥
$20,680,320 交易量
2%
瑞士
$18,511,245 交易量
1%
乌拉圭
$17,956,600 交易量
1%
墨西哥
$19,638,915 交易量
1%
克罗地亚
$21,555,769 交易量
1%
厄瓜多尔
$22,234,657 交易量
1%
塞内加尔
$17,617,321 交易量
1%
土耳其
$10,992,216 交易量
1%
Austria
$18,785,616 交易量
1%
瑞典
$9,950,432 交易量
1%
分组项标题：加拿大
$23,057,339 交易量
<1%
South Korea
$24,540,190 交易量
<1%
Paraguay
$19,729,924 交易量
<1%
苏格兰
$18,687,959 交易量
<1%
科特迪瓦
$23,370,051 交易量
<1%
埃及
$23,783,087 交易量
<1%
加纳
$18,255,238 交易量
<1%
阿尔及利亚
$21,930,762 交易量
<1%
波黑
$10,810,461 交易量
<1%
捷克
$9,503,568 交易量
<1%
澳大利亚
$23,930,434 交易量
<1%
新西兰
$31,153,607 交易量
<1%
海地
$18,021,210 交易量
<1%
约旦
$26,156,099 交易量
<1%
库拉索
$36,717,710 交易量
<1%
伊朗
$24,905,593 交易量
<1%
突尼斯
$22,379,479 交易量
<1%
Uzbekistan
$39,016,382 交易量
<1%
巴拿马
$13,140,808 交易量
<1%
伊拉克
$12,727,664 交易量
<1%
南非
$27,154,796 交易量
<1%
刚果（金）
$16,535,980 交易量
<1%
佛得角
$23,168,882 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
$24,785,455 交易量
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
$27,744,323 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 FIFA World Cup just weeks away and all 48 nations qualified, trader sentiment reflects a tightly contested field led by France, Spain, and England. Recent UEFA Nations League results and strong qualifying campaigns have highlighted France’s squad depth and attacking options alongside Spain’s tactical cohesion and possession dominance. England’s consistent European form and Brazil’s traditional talent pool keep pressure on the leaders, while Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree adds further balance. The bunched probabilities underscore how minor roster adjustments, injury recoveries, or group-stage outcomes could quickly shift momentum among these elite sides before the June kickoff.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$1,013,188,406结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 FIFA World Cup just weeks away and all 48 nations qualified, trader sentiment reflects a tightly contested field led by France, Spain, and England. Recent UEFA Nations League results and strong qualifying campaigns have highlighted France’s squad depth and attacking options alongside Spain’s tactical cohesion and possession dominance. England’s consistent European form and Brazil’s traditional talent pool keep pressure on the leaders, while Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree adds further balance. The bunched probabilities underscore how minor roster adjustments, injury recoveries, or group-stage outcomes could quickly shift momentum among these elite sides before the June kickoff.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,013,188,406结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the 2026 FIFA World Cup just weeks away and all 48 nations qualified, trader sentiment reflects a tightly contested field led by France, Spain, and England. Recent UEFA Nations League results and strong qualifying campaigns have highlighted France’s squad depth and attacking options alongside Spain’s tactical cohesion and possession dominance. England’s consistent European form and Brazil’s traditional talent pool keep pressure on the leaders, while Argentina’s defending-champion pedigree adds further balance. The bunched probabilities underscore how minor roster adjustments, injury recoveries, or group-stage outcomes could quickly shift momentum among these elite sides before the June kickoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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