Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club as the clear favorite after his dominant 2025 victory, with recent strong performances on PGA Tour events shaping trader expectations for a repeat top-10 finish. Rory McIlroy, coming off strong major contention and back-to-back title pursuits, benefits from proven course management skills suited to the historic layout last used in 1962. Other contenders like Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, and Xander Schauffele draw attention due to consistent ball-striking and recent form, while the 156-player field features 29 major champions and key LIV Golf participants. Weather, final-round positioning, and cut-line survival remain pivotal variables that could shift implied probabilities for top-10 outcomes in this stroke-play major.