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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
选举·法国

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
选举·法国

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$287,488 交易量

2027-04-17
Polymarket

$287,488 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,680 交易量

95%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$25,484 交易量

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,973 交易量

86%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,614 交易量

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$14,330 交易量

84%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,331 交易量

76%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$7,490 交易量

62%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,597 交易量

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$6,768 交易量

55%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$7,872 交易量

51%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$13,720 交易量

40%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,726 交易量

35%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$10,189 交易量

31%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9,905 交易量

30%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,156 交易量

29%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$6,812 交易量

25%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,599 交易量

18%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$20,077 交易量

13%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$4,908 交易量

13%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$8,494 交易量

13%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,453 交易量

12%

icon for 胡安·布兰科

胡安·布兰科

$6,164 交易量

11%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,377 交易量

11%

icon for 马蒂厄·皮加斯

马蒂厄·皮加斯

$11,252 交易量

10%

icon for 米歇尔-爱德华·勒克莱尔

米歇尔-爱德华·勒克莱尔

$7,903 交易量

9%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,341 交易量

8%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,688 交易量

8%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,161 交易量

8%

icon for 菲利普·德·维利耶

菲利普·德·维利耶

$3,109 交易量

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,119 交易量

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,824 交易量

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 交易量

7%

icon for 曼努埃尔·瓦尔斯

曼努埃尔·瓦尔斯

$985 交易量

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,018 交易量

6%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$662 交易量

5%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,849 交易量

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,160 交易量

4%

icon for 泰迪·里内

泰迪·里内

$364 交易量

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 交易量

3%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,088 交易量

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$595 交易量

3%

icon for 巴利·巴加约科

巴利·巴加约科

$6,462 交易量

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$829 交易量

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,934 交易量

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$994 交易量

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 交易量

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen's July 2026 announcement of her candidacy, following a shortened legal ban from her embezzlement appeal, has clarified the National Rally's likely presence on the 2027 ballot while polls place the party’s candidate—whether Le Pen or Jordan Bardella—around 35 percent in the first round. A record field of roughly 30 declared or potential contenders has emerged across the spectrum, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon for La France Insoumise, Gabriel Attal for Renaissance, Édouard Philippe on the center-right, and Bruno Retailleau as The Republicans’ nominee. Fragmented centrist and right-wing efforts, internal party debates over primaries or coalitions, and Mélenchon’s divisive positioning continue to shape which figures consolidate support or withdraw ahead of the April 2027 vote. Trader consensus on ballot composition reflects these nomination dynamics and polling momentum rather than final voter outcomes.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$287,488
结束日期
2027-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen's July 2026 announcement of her candidacy, following a shortened legal ban from her embezzlement appeal, has clarified the National Rally's likely presence on the 2027 ballot while polls place the party’s candidate—whether Le Pen or Jordan Bardella—around 35 percent in the first round. A record field of roughly 30 declared or potential contenders has emerged across the spectrum, including Jean-Luc Mélenchon for La France Insoumise, Gabriel Attal for Renaissance, Édouard Philippe on the center-right, and Bruno Retailleau as The Republicans’ nominee. Fragmented centrist and right-wing efforts, internal party debates over primaries or coalitions, and Mélenchon’s divisive positioning continue to shape which figures consolidate support or withdraw ahead of the April 2027 vote. Trader consensus on ballot composition reflects these nomination dynamics and polling momentum rather than final voter outcomes.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$287,488
结束日期
2027-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 46+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 95%，其次是"Marine Le Pen"，概率为 88%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 95¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 95%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"已产生 $287.5K 的总交易量（自Apr 22, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 46+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"的当前领先者是"Jean-Luc Mélenchon"，概率为 95%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 95%。紧随其后的结果是"Marine Le Pen"，概率为 88%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。