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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,783 交易量

2027-04-17
Polymarket

$53,783 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 交易量

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 交易量

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,084 交易量

83%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 交易量

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 交易量

70%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 交易量

55%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 交易量

56%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 交易量

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 交易量

51%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 交易量

50%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 交易量

50%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 交易量

46%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,067 交易量

43%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 交易量

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 交易量

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,220 交易量

37%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 交易量

29%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 交易量

28%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 交易量

16%

icon for 马蒂厄·皮加斯

马蒂厄·皮加斯

$4,360 交易量

18%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 交易量

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 交易量

17%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 交易量

15%

icon for 胡安·布兰科

胡安·布兰科

$1,751 交易量

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 交易量

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 交易量

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 交易量

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 交易量

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 交易量

15%

icon for 米歇尔-爱德华·勒克莱尔

米歇尔-爱德华·勒克莱尔

$1,151 交易量

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 交易量

9%

icon for 菲利普·德·维利耶

菲利普·德·维利耶

$691 交易量

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 交易量

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 交易量

7%

icon for 曼努埃尔·瓦尔斯

曼努埃尔·瓦尔斯

$350 交易量

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$237 交易量

13%

icon for 巴利·巴加约科

巴利·巴加约科

$1,099 交易量

6%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 交易量

6%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 交易量

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 交易量

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 交易量

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 交易量

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 交易量

4%

icon for 泰迪·里内

泰迪·里内

$148 交易量

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 交易量

3%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$746 交易量

40%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a wide-open field following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit, with the most immediate driver being the July 7, 2026 Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public-office ban. A upheld ineligibility would likely hand the National Rally nomination to Jordan Bardella, who already leads most first-round polling averages. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth candidacy has consolidated much of the radical left but complicated efforts by Socialists, Greens, and other left-wing groups to organize a unitary primary. On the center-right, figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau are positioning themselves through local victories and party processes, while polls continue to show the far-right ticket favored to reach the runoff against a fragmented mainstream field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$53,783
结束日期
2027-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a wide-open field following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit, with the most immediate driver being the July 7, 2026 Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public-office ban. A upheld ineligibility would likely hand the National Rally nomination to Jordan Bardella, who already leads most first-round polling averages. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth candidacy has consolidated much of the radical left but complicated efforts by Socialists, Greens, and other left-wing groups to organize a unitary primary. On the center-right, figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau are positioning themselves through local victories and party processes, while polls continue to show the far-right ticket favored to reach the runoff against a fragmented mainstream field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$53,783
结束日期
2027-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 46+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Jean-Luc Mélenchon",概率为 89%,其次是"Édouard Philippe",概率为 88%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 89¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 89%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"已产生 $53.8K 的总交易量(自Apr 22, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 46+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"的当前领先者是"Jean-Luc Mélenchon",概率为 89%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 89%。紧随其后的结果是"Édouard Philippe",概率为 88%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。