Team lineups released in early August show the Open section as an exceptionally tight four-way contest among the United States (top seed at 2751 average rating), defending champions India, host nation Uzbekistan, and China, with the leading squads separated by fewer than 50 rating points. The U.S. fields Caruana, So, Aronian, and Olympiad debutant Niemann in Nakamura’s absence, while India relies on Gukesh and Erigaisi, Uzbekistan leverages its young core with home-soil familiarity in Samarkand, and China fields a deep roster capable of medal contention. These narrow rating gaps, combined with the event’s match-point format and potential for upsets over 11 rounds, keep implied probabilities clustered among the frontrunners and sustain competitive dynamics reflected in current trader pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于India 28%
United States of America 26%
Uzbekistan 24%
China 8%
India
28%
United States of America
26%
Uzbekistan
24%
China
8%
Armenia
5%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Spain
4%
Georgia
4%
Hungary
4%
Ukraine
3%
Netherlands
3%
Poland
3%
England
3%
France
3%
Vietnam
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Turkiye
2%
Serbia
2%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
1%
Sweden
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
India 28%
United States of America 26%
Uzbekistan 24%
China 8%
India
28%
United States of America
26%
Uzbekistan
24%
China
8%
Armenia
5%
Germany
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Spain
4%
Georgia
4%
Hungary
4%
Ukraine
3%
Netherlands
3%
Poland
3%
England
3%
France
3%
Vietnam
2%
Bulgaria
2%
Turkiye
2%
Serbia
2%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
1%
Sweden
<1%
Iran
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Team lineups released in early August show the Open section as an exceptionally tight four-way contest among the United States (top seed at 2751 average rating), defending champions India, host nation Uzbekistan, and China, with the leading squads separated by fewer than 50 rating points. The U.S. fields Caruana, So, Aronian, and Olympiad debutant Niemann in Nakamura’s absence, while India relies on Gukesh and Erigaisi, Uzbekistan leverages its young core with home-soil familiarity in Samarkand, and China fields a deep roster capable of medal contention. These narrow rating gaps, combined with the event’s match-point format and potential for upsets over 11 rounds, keep implied probabilities clustered among the frontrunners and sustain competitive dynamics reflected in current trader pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题