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体育·国际象棋

第46届FIDE国际象棋奥林匹克公开赛冠军

icon for 第46届FIDE国际象棋奥林匹克公开赛冠军
体育·国际象棋

第46届FIDE国际象棋奥林匹克公开赛冠军

India 28%

United States of America 25%

Uzbekistan 24%

China 8%

Polymarket
最新

India 28%

United States of America 25%

Uzbekistan 24%

China 8%

Polymarket
最新

India

$204 交易量

28%

United States of America

$406 交易量

25%

Uzbekistan

$256 交易量

24%

China

$806 交易量

8%

Armenia

$162 交易量

5%

Germany

$212 交易量

4%

Azerbaijan

$286 交易量

4%

Netherlands

$236 交易量

4%

Ukraine

$36 交易量

4%

Georgia

$36 交易量

4%

Poland

$36 交易量

3%

Spain

$150 交易量

3%

Hungary

$36 交易量

3%

England

$36 交易量

2%

France

$139 交易量

2%

Bulgaria

$460 交易量

2%

Vietnam

$26 交易量

2%

Serbia

$133 交易量

2%

Turkiye

$26 交易量

2%

Turkmenistan

$198 交易量

1%

Norway

$131 交易量

<1%

Sweden

$180 交易量

<1%

Iran

$194 交易量

<1%

Argentina

$61 交易量

<1%

Austria

$61 交易量

<1%

Brazil

$61 交易量

<1%

Canada

$61 交易量

<1%

Chile

$61 交易量

<1%

Colombia

$61 交易量

<1%

Croatia

$61 交易量

<1%

Czech Republic

$61 交易量

<1%

Egypt

$61 交易量

<1%

Greece

$61 交易量

<1%

Kazakhstan

$61 交易量

<1%

Latvia

$61 交易量

<1%

Lithuania

$61 交易量

<1%

Moldova

$61 交易量

<1%

Mexico

$61 交易量

<1%

Romania

$61 交易量

<1%

Slovenia

$61 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Team lineups confirmed in early August for the September 2026 event in Samarkand show the United States edging the average-rating list ahead of defending champions India, host nation Uzbekistan, and China, with all four squads separated by under 40 Elo points on paper. India's board order features Arjun Erigaisi on top board and Gukesh Dommaraju dropped to fourth, while Uzbekistan benefits from home-soil momentum and a reordered lineup that elevates Javokhir Sindarov. The United States fields its strongest available roster without Hikaru Nakamura, creating a narrow but measurable gap over the rest of the field. These small rating differentials, combined with the Swiss-system format and 11 rounds of play, sustain the tight clustering of implied probabilities among the leading nations. Historical team-event volatility and potential late adjustments further support the competitive balance reflected in current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,414
结束日期
2026-09-28
市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Team lineups confirmed in early August for the September 2026 event in Samarkand show the United States edging the average-rating list ahead of defending champions India, host nation Uzbekistan, and China, with all four squads separated by under 40 Elo points on paper. India's board order features Arjun Erigaisi on top board and Gukesh Dommaraju dropped to fourth, while Uzbekistan benefits from home-soil momentum and a reordered lineup that elevates Javokhir Sindarov. The United States fields its strongest available roster without Hikaru Nakamura, creating a narrow but measurable gap over the rest of the field. These small rating differentials, combined with the Swiss-system format and 11 rounds of play, sustain the tight clustering of implied probabilities among the leading nations. Historical team-event volatility and potential late adjustments further support the competitive balance reflected in current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,414
结束日期
2026-09-28
市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"第46届FIDE国际象棋奥林匹克公开赛冠军"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 40+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"India"，概率为 28%，其次是"United States of America"，概率为 25%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 28¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 28%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"第46届FIDE国际象棋奥林匹克公开赛冠军"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jul 30, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"第46届FIDE国际象棋奥林匹克公开赛冠军"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 40+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"第46届FIDE国际象棋奥林匹克公开赛冠军"的当前领先者是"India"，概率为 28%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 28%。紧随其后的结果是"United States of America"，概率为 25%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"第46届FIDE国际象棋奥林匹克公开赛冠军"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。