Trader consensus prices the 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45 at 42 percent and ages 45-54 at 28.5 percent, reflecting the elevated visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early positioning. These candidates, along with Pete Buttigieg and Wes Moore, have drawn attention through fundraising, media appearances, and primary polling in key states amid widespread discussion of generational turnover following consecutive older nominees. Prediction markets have assigned meaningful probability to these individuals, while older options like Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom remain competitive in surveys but trail in some betting aggregates. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts before the primary calendar begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于45岁以下 36%
45-54 29%
55-64岁 17%
85岁及以上 5.3%
最新
最新
2028-08-30
45岁以下
44%
45-54
29%
55-64岁
19%
65-74岁
10%
75-84岁
5%
85岁及以上
5%
45岁以下 36%
45-54 29%
55-64岁 17%
85岁及以上 5.3%
最新
最新
2028-08-30
45岁以下
$1,024 交易量
44%
45-54
$805 交易量
29%
55-64岁
$247 交易量
19%
65-74岁
$144 交易量
10%
75-84岁
$135 交易量
5%
85岁及以上
$148 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus prices the 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45 at 42 percent and ages 45-54 at 28.5 percent, reflecting the elevated visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early positioning. These candidates, along with Pete Buttigieg and Wes Moore, have drawn attention through fundraising, media appearances, and primary polling in key states amid widespread discussion of generational turnover following consecutive older nominees. Prediction markets have assigned meaningful probability to these individuals, while older options like Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom remain competitive in surveys but trail in some betting aggregates. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts before the primary calendar begins.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
交易量
$2,502结束日期
2028-08-31市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Trader consensus prices the 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45 at 42 percent and ages 45-54 at 28.5 percent, reflecting the elevated visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early positioning. These candidates, along with Pete Buttigieg and Wes Moore, have drawn attention through fundraising, media appearances, and primary polling in key states amid widespread discussion of generational turnover following consecutive older nominees. Prediction markets have assigned meaningful probability to these individuals, while older options like Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom remain competitive in surveys but trail in some betting aggregates. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts before the primary calendar begins.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
交易量
$2,502结束日期
2028-08-31市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ETTrader consensus prices the 2028 Democratic nominee under age 45 at 42 percent and ages 45-54 at 28.5 percent, reflecting the elevated visibility of younger figures such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff in early positioning. These candidates, along with Pete Buttigieg and Wes Moore, have drawn attention through fundraising, media appearances, and primary polling in key states amid widespread discussion of generational turnover following consecutive older nominees. Prediction markets have assigned meaningful probability to these individuals, while older options like Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom remain competitive in surveys but trail in some betting aggregates. No candidate has formally declared, leaving room for shifts before the primary calendar begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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