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政治·主要选举

Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

icon for Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
政治·主要选举

Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner

Salma Luévano Luna 63%

Lorena Martínez Rodríguez 32%

Genny Janeth López Valenzuela 20%

Arturo Ávila Anaya 19%

Polymarket
最新

Salma Luévano Luna 63%

Lorena Martínez Rodríguez 32%

Genny Janeth López Valenzuela 20%

Arturo Ávila Anaya 19%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Salma Luévano Luna

Salma Luévano Luna

$67 交易量

63%

icon for Lorena Martínez Rodríguez

Lorena Martínez Rodríguez

$67 交易量

32%

icon for Genny Janeth López Valenzuela

Genny Janeth López Valenzuela

$67 交易量

20%

icon for Arturo Ávila Anaya

Arturo Ávila Anaya

$67 交易量

19%

icon for Antonio Martín del Campo

Antonio Martín del Campo

$67 交易量

9%

icon for Leonardo Montañez Castro

Leonardo Montañez Castro

$841 交易量

8%

icon for Aldo Ruiz Sánchez

Aldo Ruiz Sánchez

$67 交易量

6%

icon for Anayeli Muñoz Moreno

Anayeli Muñoz Moreno

$87 交易量

6%

icon for Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo

Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo

$84 交易量

6%

icon for Karla Arely Espinoza

Karla Arely Espinoza

$77 交易量

5%

icon for Kendor Macías

Kendor Macías

$87 交易量

5%

icon for Ana Gómez Calzada

Ana Gómez Calzada

$80 交易量

1%

icon for Leticia Olivares

Leticia Olivares

$77 交易量

28%

icon for Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez

Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez

$110 交易量

38%

icon for Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas

Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas

$67 交易量

-

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Early positioning for Aguascalientes' 2027 gubernatorial election has produced a crowded field of aspirants from PAN, Morena, Movimiento Ciudadano, and other parties, with no nominations finalized and limited polling available. PAN maintains a statewide preference edge near 54 percent, supporting figures such as Antonio Martín del Campo and Leonardo Montañez Castro, while Morena contenders including Salma Luévano Luna and Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez register lower but competitive individual support. The fragmented candidate list and absence of decisive primary or coalition developments have kept trader-implied probabilities clustered among leading names. Upcoming party conventions, candidate registrations, and any state-level polling releases could shift momentum by clarifying frontrunners and consolidating support.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
交易量
$1,909
结束日期
2027-06-06
市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Early positioning for Aguascalientes' 2027 gubernatorial election has produced a crowded field of aspirants from PAN, Morena, Movimiento Ciudadano, and other parties, with no nominations finalized and limited polling available. PAN maintains a statewide preference edge near 54 percent, supporting figures such as Antonio Martín del Campo and Leonardo Montañez Castro, while Morena contenders including Salma Luévano Luna and Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez register lower but competitive individual support. The fragmented candidate list and absence of decisive primary or coalition developments have kept trader-implied probabilities clustered among leading names. Upcoming party conventions, candidate registrations, and any state-level polling releases could shift momentum by clarifying frontrunners and consolidating support.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
交易量
$1,909
结束日期
2027-06-06
市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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常见问题

"Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez"，概率为 38%，其次是"Lorena Martínez Rodríguez"，概率为 33%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 38¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 38%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Aug 5, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner"的当前领先者是"Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez"，概率为 38%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 38%。紧随其后的结果是"Lorena Martínez Rodríguez"，概率为 33%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。