António Guterres plans to complete his second term as UN Secretary-General on December 31, 2026, with the formal successor selection process already underway through candidate interviews and General Assembly dialogues. Recent statements from Guterres have framed 2026 explicitly as his final year in office, focusing on priorities such as peace initiatives and multilateral reforms without any signals of early resignation or external pressure to depart sooner. No major diplomatic crises, institutional challenges, or official actions in the past month have altered this timeline, supporting trader consensus that he will remain in the role through year-end. The implied probability reflects standard expectations for an incumbent completing a fixed term absent unforeseen developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres plans to complete his second term as UN Secretary-General on December 31, 2026, with the formal successor selection process already underway through candidate interviews and General Assembly dialogues. Recent statements from Guterres have framed 2026 explicitly as his final year in office, focusing on priorities such as peace initiatives and multilateral reforms without any signals of early resignation or external pressure to depart sooner. No major diplomatic crises, institutional challenges, or official actions in the past month have altered this timeline, supporting trader consensus that he will remain in the role through year-end. The implied probability reflects standard expectations for an incumbent completing a fixed term absent unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
交易量
$1,642结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres plans to complete his second term as UN Secretary-General on December 31, 2026, with the formal successor selection process already underway through candidate interviews and General Assembly dialogues. Recent statements from Guterres have framed 2026 explicitly as his final year in office, focusing on priorities such as peace initiatives and multilateral reforms without any signals of early resignation or external pressure to depart sooner. No major diplomatic crises, institutional challenges, or official actions in the past month have altered this timeline, supporting trader consensus that he will remain in the role through year-end. The implied probability reflects standard expectations for an incumbent completing a fixed term absent unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,642结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...António Guterres plans to complete his second term as UN Secretary-General on December 31, 2026, with the formal successor selection process already underway through candidate interviews and General Assembly dialogues. Recent statements from Guterres have framed 2026 explicitly as his final year in office, focusing on priorities such as peace initiatives and multilateral reforms without any signals of early resignation or external pressure to depart sooner. No major diplomatic crises, institutional challenges, or official actions in the past month have altered this timeline, supporting trader consensus that he will remain in the role through year-end. The implied probability reflects standard expectations for an incumbent completing a fixed term absent unforeseen developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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