Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s Republican partisan voting index and consistent ratings as a solid or likely GOP hold from forecasters. Hill secured his primary nomination comfortably against a challenger, preserving party resources and name recognition built over multiple terms. Democratic nominee Chris Jones, a prior statewide candidate, advanced from his March primary but confronts the district’s central Arkansas electorate and historical Republican margins exceeding 50 percent in recent cycles. National Democratic targeting has drawn some attention and fundraising interest to the race, yet trader consensus reflected in current pricing continues to price in the structural advantages for the Republican side absent major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,115 交易量
88%
民主党
$6,349 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s Republican partisan voting index and consistent ratings as a solid or likely GOP hold from forecasters. Hill secured his primary nomination comfortably against a challenger, preserving party resources and name recognition built over multiple terms. Democratic nominee Chris Jones, a prior statewide candidate, advanced from his March primary but confronts the district’s central Arkansas electorate and historical Republican margins exceeding 50 percent in recent cycles. National Democratic targeting has drawn some attention and fundraising interest to the race, yet trader consensus reflected in current pricing continues to price in the structural advantages for the Republican side absent major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$9,464结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s Republican partisan voting index and consistent ratings as a solid or likely GOP hold from forecasters. Hill secured his primary nomination comfortably against a challenger, preserving party resources and name recognition built over multiple terms. Democratic nominee Chris Jones, a prior statewide candidate, advanced from his March primary but confronts the district’s central Arkansas electorate and historical Republican margins exceeding 50 percent in recent cycles. National Democratic targeting has drawn some attention and fundraising interest to the race, yet trader consensus reflected in current pricing continues to price in the structural advantages for the Republican side absent major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,464结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong position in Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s Republican partisan voting index and consistent ratings as a solid or likely GOP hold from forecasters. Hill secured his primary nomination comfortably against a challenger, preserving party resources and name recognition built over multiple terms. Democratic nominee Chris Jones, a prior statewide candidate, advanced from his March primary but confronts the district’s central Arkansas electorate and historical Republican margins exceeding 50 percent in recent cycles. National Democratic targeting has drawn some attention and fundraising interest to the race, yet trader consensus reflected in current pricing continues to price in the structural advantages for the Republican side absent major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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