Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District general election against Democratic nominee James Russell, reflecting trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party amid the district's R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Westerman's consistent 70%+ victories, including 72.9% in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled due to no opposition, while Russell narrowly won the March 3 Democratic primary 53%-47% in low-turnout voting signaling limited party enthusiasm. Westerman's fundraising dwarfs challengers with $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrats' minimal reports. Safe Republican ratings from Cook and others underscore the hold; shifts would require a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or improbable national Democratic wave ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,480 交易量
$14,480 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
4%
$14,480 交易量
$14,480 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,231 交易量
95%
民主党
$6,248 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District general election against Democratic nominee James Russell, reflecting trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party amid the district's R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Westerman's consistent 70%+ victories, including 72.9% in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled due to no opposition, while Russell narrowly won the March 3 Democratic primary 53%-47% in low-turnout voting signaling limited party enthusiasm. Westerman's fundraising dwarfs challengers with $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrats' minimal reports. Safe Republican ratings from Cook and others underscore the hold; shifts would require a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or improbable national Democratic wave ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$14,480结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District general election against Democratic nominee James Russell, reflecting trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party amid the district's R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Westerman's consistent 70%+ victories, including 72.9% in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled due to no opposition, while Russell narrowly won the March 3 Democratic primary 53%-47% in low-turnout voting signaling limited party enthusiasm. Westerman's fundraising dwarfs challengers with $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrats' minimal reports. Safe Republican ratings from Cook and others underscore the hold; shifts would require a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or improbable national Democratic wave ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,480结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman holds a commanding position in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District general election against Democratic nominee James Russell, reflecting trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party amid the district's R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Westerman's consistent 70%+ victories, including 72.9% in 2024. The Republican primary was canceled due to no opposition, while Russell narrowly won the March 3 Democratic primary 53%-47% in low-turnout voting signaling limited party enthusiasm. Westerman's fundraising dwarfs challengers with $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March versus Democrats' minimal reports. Safe Republican ratings from Cook and others underscore the hold; shifts would require a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or improbable national Democratic wave ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题