Javier Milei, the incumbent president under La Libertad Avanza, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 2027 Argentine presidential election at 51.5%, reflecting his party's 2025 midterm gains, progress on fiscal austerity, deregulation, and inflation reduction from prior hyperinflation levels. Axel Kicillof, the Peronist governor of Buenos Aires province, stands at 40% amid opposition efforts to build a broad coalition against Milei’s agenda. Recent polling shows Milei’s approval in the 35-40% range, pressured by persistent monthly inflation above 3%, lagging real wages, and government-linked corruption scandals that have narrowed his edge in hypothetical head-to-heads. Sergio Massa and other figures remain marginal as the contest centers on these two frontrunners, with roughly 30% of voters undecided or rejecting both.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哈维尔·米莱 52%
阿克塞尔·基西洛夫 40%
塞尔希奥·马萨 5.8%
Myriam Bregman 1.3%
$525,308 交易量
$525,308 交易量

哈维尔·米莱
52%

阿克塞尔·基西洛夫
40%

塞尔希奥·马萨
6%

Myriam Bregman
1%

丹特·赫贝尔
1%

胡安·格拉博伊斯
1%

维多利亚·维拉鲁埃尔
1%

毛里西奥·马克里
<1%

埃斯特班·布尔里奇
<1%

法昆多·马内斯
<1%

胡安·斯基亚雷蒂
<1%
哈维尔·米莱 52%
阿克塞尔·基西洛夫 40%
塞尔希奥·马萨 5.8%
Myriam Bregman 1.3%
$525,308 交易量
$525,308 交易量

哈维尔·米莱
52%

阿克塞尔·基西洛夫
40%

塞尔希奥·马萨
6%

Myriam Bregman
1%

丹特·赫贝尔
1%

胡安·格拉博伊斯
1%

维多利亚·维拉鲁埃尔
1%

毛里西奥·马克里
<1%

埃斯特班·布尔里奇
<1%

法昆多·马内斯
<1%

胡安·斯基亚雷蒂
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
市场开放时间: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei, the incumbent president under La Libertad Avanza, holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 2027 Argentine presidential election at 51.5%, reflecting his party's 2025 midterm gains, progress on fiscal austerity, deregulation, and inflation reduction from prior hyperinflation levels. Axel Kicillof, the Peronist governor of Buenos Aires province, stands at 40% amid opposition efforts to build a broad coalition against Milei’s agenda. Recent polling shows Milei’s approval in the 35-40% range, pressured by persistent monthly inflation above 3%, lagging real wages, and government-linked corruption scandals that have narrowed his edge in hypothetical head-to-heads. Sergio Massa and other figures remain marginal as the contest centers on these two frontrunners, with roughly 30% of voters undecided or rejecting both.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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