Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November general election. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's established record and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the GOP outcome. Available polling shows double-digit leads for the Republican, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the absence of major competitive shifts since the primaries. Limited Democratic infrastructure and low statewide support for the opposing party further reinforce the market positioning. Only late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national swing could realistically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,384 交易量
$12,384 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
4%
$12,384 交易量
$12,384 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,617 交易量
94%
民主党
$3,767 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November general election. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's established record and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the GOP outcome. Available polling shows double-digit leads for the Republican, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the absence of major competitive shifts since the primaries. Limited Democratic infrastructure and low statewide support for the opposing party further reinforce the market positioning. Only late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national swing could realistically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$12,384结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November general election. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's established record and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the GOP outcome. Available polling shows double-digit leads for the Republican, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the absence of major competitive shifts since the primaries. Limited Democratic infrastructure and low statewide support for the opposing party further reinforce the market positioning. Only late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national swing could realistically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$12,384结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Hallie Shoffner in the November general election. Arkansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Cotton's established record and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus that heavily favors the GOP outcome. Available polling shows double-digit leads for the Republican, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the absence of major competitive shifts since the primaries. Limited Democratic infrastructure and low statewide support for the opposing party further reinforce the market positioning. Only late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national swing could realistically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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