OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched September 3 with critical cybersecurity capabilities under its Preparedness Framework—the first model to hit that threshold—enabling autonomous discovery and chaining of zero-days on hardened systems. This triggered gated deployment: broad ChatGPT Plus/Pro and API access rolls out in stages, while advanced exploit workflows stay restricted to alpha testers and the expanding Daybreak Blue defender program. Sam Altman publicly apologized for the staggered rollout, which frustrated paid subscribers expecting immediate access. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Fable 5.1 and benchmark saturation (ARC-AGI-3, ExploitBench) supports strong initial sentiment, yet traders watch for further restrictions driven by EU data-zone gaps, safeguard friction, or policy shifts that could limit public availability before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
9月30日
4%
10月31日
12%
$329 交易量
9月30日
$299 交易量
4%
10月31日
$30 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched September 3 with critical cybersecurity capabilities under its Preparedness Framework—the first model to hit that threshold—enabling autonomous discovery and chaining of zero-days on hardened systems. This triggered gated deployment: broad ChatGPT Plus/Pro and API access rolls out in stages, while advanced exploit workflows stay restricted to alpha testers and the expanding Daybreak Blue defender program. Sam Altman publicly apologized for the staggered rollout, which frustrated paid subscribers expecting immediate access. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Fable 5.1 and benchmark saturation (ARC-AGI-3, ExploitBench) supports strong initial sentiment, yet traders watch for further restrictions driven by EU data-zone gaps, safeguard friction, or policy shifts that could limit public availability before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
交易量
$329结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched September 3 with critical cybersecurity capabilities under its Preparedness Framework—the first model to hit that threshold—enabling autonomous discovery and chaining of zero-days on hardened systems. This triggered gated deployment: broad ChatGPT Plus/Pro and API access rolls out in stages, while advanced exploit workflows stay restricted to alpha testers and the expanding Daybreak Blue defender program. Sam Altman publicly apologized for the staggered rollout, which frustrated paid subscribers expecting immediate access. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Fable 5.1 and benchmark saturation (ARC-AGI-3, ExploitBench) supports strong initial sentiment, yet traders watch for further restrictions driven by EU data-zone gaps, safeguard friction, or policy shifts that could limit public availability before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$329结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETOpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra launched September 3 with critical cybersecurity capabilities under its Preparedness Framework—the first model to hit that threshold—enabling autonomous discovery and chaining of zero-days on hardened systems. This triggered gated deployment: broad ChatGPT Plus/Pro and API access rolls out in stages, while advanced exploit workflows stay restricted to alpha testers and the expanding Daybreak Blue defender program. Sam Altman publicly apologized for the staggered rollout, which frustrated paid subscribers expecting immediate access. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Fable 5.1 and benchmark saturation (ARC-AGI-3, ExploitBench) supports strong initial sentiment, yet traders watch for further restrictions driven by EU data-zone gaps, safeguard friction, or policy shifts that could limit public availability before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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