Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th congressional district, which covers suburban areas including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and Stanton's 2024 reelection margin. The recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive Republican challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger. Late national shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter the outcome, though structural factors favor the current frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,234 交易量
$32,234 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$32,234 交易量
$32,234 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$25,395 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,839 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th congressional district, which covers suburban areas including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and Stanton's 2024 reelection margin. The recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive Republican challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger. Late national shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter the outcome, though structural factors favor the current frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$32,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th congressional district, which covers suburban areas including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and Stanton's 2024 reelection margin. The recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive Republican challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger. Late national shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter the outcome, though structural factors favor the current frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th congressional district, which covers suburban areas including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and Stanton's 2024 reelection margin. The recent primary outcomes and absence of competitive Republican challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger. Late national shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning precincts, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter the outcome, though structural factors favor the current frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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