Greg Stanton, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary and enters the November general election in Arizona's 4th congressional district with a significant advantage. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 and urban Maricopa County composition have historically favored Democrats, consistent with Stanton's prior victories. Zuhdi Jasser, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic performance in recent cycles has exceeded 55%. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including incumbency benefits and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,728 交易量
$25,728 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
90%
共和党
8%
$25,728 交易量
$25,728 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$19,228 交易量
90%
共和党
$6,499 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Stanton, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary and enters the November general election in Arizona's 4th congressional district with a significant advantage. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 and urban Maricopa County composition have historically favored Democrats, consistent with Stanton's prior victories. Zuhdi Jasser, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic performance in recent cycles has exceeded 55%. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including incumbency benefits and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$25,728结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Stanton, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary and enters the November general election in Arizona's 4th congressional district with a significant advantage. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 and urban Maricopa County composition have historically favored Democrats, consistent with Stanton's prior victories. Zuhdi Jasser, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic performance in recent cycles has exceeded 55%. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including incumbency benefits and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,728结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Greg Stanton, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary and enters the November general election in Arizona's 4th congressional district with a significant advantage. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 and urban Maricopa County composition have historically favored Democrats, consistent with Stanton's prior victories. Zuhdi Jasser, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic performance in recent cycles has exceeded 55%. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including incumbency benefits and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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